Match Info

VENEZUELA: Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ricardo Tulio Maya (Ciudad Bolívar)

Referee: Delgado Y. (Ven)


	Angostura		Caracas

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.88
	3.4	3.5	2
	3.44	3.32	2.06
	3.64	3.42	2.01	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.91
	3.56	3.4	1.92	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.46)	3.38 ↑ (3.1)	1.98 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angostura
26.2%

Draw
27.2%

Caracas
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

29.5%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

28.1%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angostura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angostura than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Angostura - Caracas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Gallo M. (G) 18. Lovera J. 13. Matos A. 4. Montanez A. 16. Silgado J. 79. Roca C. 20. Asibe S. 28. Pacheco J. 10. Gonzalez L. 26. Zamora T. 9. Velasco A.	1. Farinez W. (G) 15. Heraldez L. 6. Quijada R. (C) 16. Aguilar D. 30. Casiani L. 4. Rodriguez B. 5. Vegas M. 20. Campagnaro M. 14. Echenique E. 44. Oduoye S. 33. Correa W.
Substitutes
25. Dominguez A. 17. Farreras A. 80. Gomez C. 2. Graterol J. 1. Lopez V. (G) 21. Moreno D. 5. Pereira E. 37. Rodriguez Mora A. A. 7. Rondon J. 3. Saab K. 32. Zappacosta J.	12. Benitez F. (G) 10. Contreras A. 27. Edet B. 24. Jimenez N. 7. Perez D. 11. Pernia E. 18. Rivas A. 21. Rodriguez V. 99. Rose E.
Coaches
Castillo O.	Aristeguieta F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Correa W. ↓, Pernia E. ↑,
56', Oduoye S. ↓, Rose E. ↑,
63', Asibe S. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,
64', Vegas M. 🟨,
66', Vegas M. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
79', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
84', Quijada R. ↓, Juanpi ↑,
84', Echenique E. ↓, Rivas A. ↑,
84', Zamora T. ↓, Pereira E. ↑,
84', Gonzalez L. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
85', Pacheco J. ↓, Farreras A. ↑,
85', Contreras A. 🟨,
90+2', Velasco A. ↓, Zappacosta J. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

Angostura has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Caracas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caracas will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Caracas to win the game is with odds 2.07.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Angostura won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Angostura won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angostura FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.09.24	Deportivo Táchira - Angostura	2:0 ✺
26.08.24	Angostura - Rayo Zuliano	0:1 ✺
21.08.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Angostura	2:1 ✺
15.08.24	Angostura - Carabobo	1:2 ✺
08.08.24	Deportivo La Guaira - Angostura	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
04.09.24	Caracas - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:0 ✺
27.08.24	Caracas - Zamora	2:1 ✺
21.08.24	Deportivo Táchira - Caracas	1:1 ✺
15.08.24	Caracas - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:3 ✺
07.08.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Caracas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
20.03.24	Caracas - Angostura	0:1
15.07.23	Angostura - Caracas	2:0
30.04.23	Caracas - Angostura	4:1

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