Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL PREMIERSHIP - RELEGATION - FINAL

Date: 30 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: BMG Arena (Portadown)


	Annagh United		Dungannon Swifts

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.8	1.37
	6.4	4.7	1.35
	7.46	5.21	1.38
	8	4.4	1.33
	7.5	4.85	1.36
	7.2	4.7	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.22 ↑ (3.06)	4.78 ↑ (3.6)	1.36 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annagh United
12.8%

Draw
19.3%

Dungannon Swifts
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

25.1%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annagh United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Annagh United's form might have worsened.

Dungannon Swifts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dungannon Swifts's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annagh United than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Annagh United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (-22.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dungannon Swifts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Annagh United - Dungannon Swifts Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Annagh will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Dungannon will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Annagh: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Little J. (G) 4. Campbell J. 9. Duffin P. 26. Finnegan P. 8. Harpur R. . Kerr N. 18. McGinley N. 28. McGuinness S. . Murray S. 21. Storey G. . Taylor C.	1. Dunne D. (G) 35. Animasahun M. 12. Curry D. 22. Cushnie B. 27. McGee E. 17. McGinty C. 10. O'Connor M. 21. O'Kane O. 23. Ruddy M. 42. Scott S. 19. Walsh M.
Substitutes
33. Burns R. (G) . Egas F. . Martins R. . McDonald C. 23. Moffatt R. . Topley E. . Traczykowski D.	66. Donnelly R. 25. Francis L. 39. Lynch P. 8. Mayse R. 30. Moore J. 18. Nelson D. (G) 26. Smith C.
Coaches
McGurgan C.	Shiels D.

Preview

1st leg.

Annagh is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dungannon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dungannon is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Annagh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Annagh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annagh United
Northern Irish Championship
29.04.23	Warrenpoint Town - Annagh United	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Annagh United - Dundela	4:0 ✺
14.04.23	Annagh United - Ards	1:2 ✺
11.04.23	Annagh United - Loughgall	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Annagh United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLTL
- Dungannon Swifts
Northern Irish Premiership
29.04.23	Dungannon Swifts - Newry City	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Dungannon Swifts - Portadown	3:2 ✺
15.04.23	Ballymena United - Dungannon Swifts	2:0 ✺
11.04.23	Carrick Rangers - Dungannon Swifts	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.22	Annagh United - Dungannon Swifts	4:2
Northern Irish Cup
05.02.22	Dungannon Swifts - Annagh United	4:1
Club Friendly
09.10.20	Annagh United - Dungannon Swifts	1:2

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