Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 21

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stangmore Park (Dungannon)

Referee: Andrews S. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dungannon Swifts		Portadown

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.3	3.4
	1.78	3.93	4.18
	2	3.55	3.49	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.14	3.28	3.38
	2.05	3.5	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.75)	3.48 ↓ (3.68)	3.48 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dungannon Swifts
46.3%

Draw
26.9%

Portadown
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

25%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

25.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dungannon Swifts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dungannon Swifts's form might have worsened.

Portadown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dungannon Swifts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (-5%)

Dungannon Swifts - Portadown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dunne D. (G) 34. Bigirimana G. 10. Dillon K. 14. Glenny A. 6. Kelly T. 4. Maguire P. 19. Maguire T. 67. McAllister S. 17. McGinty C. 40. Ogedi-Uzokwe J. 23. Wallace D.	1. McCarey A. (G) 7. Chapman L. 13. Fyfe E. 12. Gibson J. 2. Isamala D. 5. MacKinnon L. 24. McCartan S. 11. McCullough S. 19. Teelan J. 9. Ukek J. 8. Wylie B.
Substitutes
13. Alves L. 31. Glass D. (G) 33. Johnston J. 8. Knowles J. 35. Liggett E. 26. Mitchell A. 20. Smith M.	4. Altintop B. 27. Annett R. 10. Mayse R. 21. Minzamba R. 40. Moore A. (G) 30. Quinn B. 6. Wilson L.
Coaches
McAree R.	Currie N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, McAllister S. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, McAllister S. ⚽,
22', 3 - 0, McAllister S. ⚽,
44', 4 - 0, Glenny A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gibson J. ↓, Wilson L. ↑,
46', Wylie B. ↓, Quinn B. ↑,
62', Maguire T. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
63', Dillon K. ↓, Knowles J. ↑,
65', 4 - 1, Ukek J. ⚽,
66', McAllister S. ↓, Alves L. ↑,
76', McCartan S. 🟨,
82', McCartan S. 🟨,
83', Ukek J. ↓, Minzamba R. ↑,
83', Kelly T. ↓, Liggett E. ↑,
83', Glenny A. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
85', 4 - 2, Wallace D. (Own goal),
88', Teelan J. ↓, Annett R. ↑,
90+1', MacKinnon L. ↓, Mayse R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 2.

Recent performances by Dungannon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Portadown is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Dungannon has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dungannon is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dungannon won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dungannon Swifts
Northern Irish Premiership
13.12.25	Carrick Rangers - Dungannon Swifts	3:3 ✺
06.12.25	Ballymena United - Dungannon Swifts	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Dungannon Swifts - Larne	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Glentoran - Dungannon Swifts	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Cliftonville - Dungannon Swifts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWLWL
- Portadown
Northern Irish Premiership
13.12.25	Portadown - Ballymena United	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Crusaders - Portadown	0:4 ✺
29.11.25	Portadown - Cliftonville	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Carrick Rangers - Portadown	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Portadown - Bangor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
16.08.25	Dungannon Swifts - Portadown	1:4
15.03.25	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	1:1
19.10.24	Dungannon Swifts - Portadown	2:0
13.09.24	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	2:1
22.04.23	Dungannon Swifts - Portadown	3:2
24.02.23	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	3:1
02.01.23	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	0:0

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