Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL PREMIERSHIP - ROUND 24

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Stangmore Park (Dungannon)

Referee: Kennedy K. (Nir)


	Dungannon Swifts		Newry City

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	4.33
	1.63	4.2	4.33	Watch
	1.68	4.3	4.46
	1.69	4.3	4.46
	1.57	4	4.33
	1.64	4.2	4.3
	1.63	4.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)	4.17 ↓ (4.25)	4.39 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dungannon Swifts
56.6%

Draw
22.2%

Newry City
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

22%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

20.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dungannon Swifts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Newry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Dungannon Swifts - Newry City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dunne D. (G) 23. Alves L. 34. Bigirimana G. 4. Curry D. (C) 10. Dillon K. 15. Gallagher B. 50. Galvin T. 14. Glenny A. 17. McGinty C. 3. Scott J. 12. Scott S.	1. Maguire S. (G) 8. Carroll A. 24. Forde L. 3. Healy N. 2. King D. (C) 10. Lockhart T. 17. Martin A. 18. Moan S. 7. O'Connor C. 38. Poynton G. 14. Salley A.
Substitutes
9. Devine E. 39. Hegarty A. 6. Hegarty C. 21. Hutchinson G. 8. Knowles J. 18. Mitchell C. (G) 16. Moore J.	19. Healy B. 28. McCaul S. 49. McGovern P. 36. Mooney J. 39. Owens D. 33. Scullion D.
Coaches
McAree R.	Boyle G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dungannon won 4.

Recent matches Dungannon is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Newry City has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dungannon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dungannon is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Dungannon won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 30-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Dungannon won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dungannon Swifts
Northern Irish Premiership
26.12.23	Loughgall - Dungannon Swifts	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Dungannon Swifts - Glentoran	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Coleraine - Dungannon Swifts	2:3 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
12.12.23	Dungannon Swifts - Newry City	4:2 ET ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
09.12.23	Linfield - Dungannon Swifts	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWWL
- Newry City
Northern Irish Premiership
26.12.23	Newry City - Glenavon	0:4 ✺
22.12.23	Newry City - Carrick Rangers	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Glentoran - Newry City	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
12.12.23	Dungannon Swifts - Newry City	4:2 ET ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
08.12.23	Newry City - Ballymena United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish League Cup
12.12.23	Dungannon Swifts - Newry City	4:2 ET
Northern Irish Premiership
18.11.23	Dungannon Swifts - Newry City	4:1
22.09.23	Newry City - Dungannon Swifts	2:2
29.04.23	Dungannon Swifts - Newry City	2:1
17.02.23	Newry City - Dungannon Swifts	0:2
26.12.22	Dungannon Swifts - Newry City	2:0
16.09.22	Newry City - Dungannon Swifts	1:0

Upcoming Matches