Match Info

League One - Round 34

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Galabank (Annan)


	Annan Athletic		Arbroath

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.15
	4	3.6	1.7
	3.1	3.4	2.17
	2.98	3.35	2.4
	3.17	3.33	2.23	Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.75
	3.07	3.35	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.37)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	2.09 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annan Athletic
28.1%

Draw
27.2%

Arbroath
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

25.5%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

24.7%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Annan Athletic - Arbroath Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 14. Muir R. 2. Hooper S. 33. Gibson W. 15. Kilsby M. 16. Smith P. 8. Todd J. 19. Maxwell C. 7. McGowan P. 4. Dixon J. 5. Muir T.	31. Mcconnell J. (G) 2. Steele A. 15. Watson K. 27. Muirhead A. 4. Wilkie J. 24. McKechnie K. 20. Flynn R. 22. Murray I. 17. King B. 32. Spalding A. 9. Gallagher C.
Substitutes
18. Bell S. 17. Brown A. 11. Carmichael D. 12. Fleming G. (G) 23. Ross L. 20. Strachan M.	11. Dow R. 21. McAdams A. (G) 5. O'Brien T. 10. Reilly G. 6. Stanton S. 12. Stewart S. 14. Taylor F. 26. Thomson J. 25. Winter A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, King B. ⚽, Flynn R. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Smith P. ⚽, Gibson W. (A),
40', Steele A. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Muir T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', McKechnie K. ↓, Dow R. ↑,
46', King B. ↓, Stewart S. ↑,
55', Murray I. ↓, Stanton S. ↑,
55', Spalding A. ↓, Winter A. ↑,
61', 3 - 1, Muir T. ⚽, Muir R. (A),
63', McGowan P. ↓, Ross L. ↑,
72', 4 - 1, Ross L. ⚽, Gibson W. (A),
78', Steele A. ↓, O'Brien T. ↑,
79', 5 - 1, Ross L. ⚽,
82', Muir R. ↓, Carmichael D. ↑,
83', Maxwell C. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
89', Watson K. 🟨,
90', Brown A. 🟨,
90', Brown A. 🟨,
90', Muir T. 🟨,

Preview

Arbroath is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship

Last 5 head-to-head matches Annan won 1.

Recent matches Annan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arbroath is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Arbroath is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Annan won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23:31 (average 1.4:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Annan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:15 (average 1.6:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annan Athletic
Scottish League One
12.04.25	Alloa Athletic - Annan Athletic	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Annan Athletic - Queen of the South	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Annan Athletic - Kelty Hearts	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Montrose - Annan Athletic	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Inverness - Annan Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWLW
- Arbroath
Scottish League One
12.04.25	Arbroath - Stenhousemuir	4:0 ✺
05.04.25	Montrose - Arbroath	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Arbroath - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Kelty Hearts - Arbroath	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Arbroath - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
01.03.25	Arbroath - Annan Athletic	3:0
21.12.24	Annan Athletic - Arbroath	0:4
21.09.24	Arbroath - Annan Athletic	2:0
Scottish League Cup
20.07.24	Arbroath - Annan Athletic	0:3
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.18	Arbroath - Annan Athletic	3:0
Scottish League Two
01.04.17	Annan Athletic - Arbroath	2:5
21.01.17	Arbroath - Annan Athletic	1:2

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