The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arbroath 42.5%
Draw 27.4%
Cove Rangers 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
27.1%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
26.3%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Cove Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (-4%)
Arbroath - Cove Rangers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. McAdams A. (G) 19. Penman C. 27. Muirhead A. 5. O'Brien T. 4. Wilkie J. 12. Stewart S. 17. King B. 6. Stanton S. 20. Flynn R. 14. Taylor F. 25. Winter A.
1. Suman N. (G) 18. Lobban D. 3. Doyle M. 15. Darge A. 7. Harrington R. 4. Scully C. 8. Yule B. 32. Parker L. 22. Emslie A. 9. Megginson M. 24. Fyvie F.
Substitutes
11. Dow R. 9. Gallagher C. 31. Mcconnell J. (G) 24. McKechnie K. 22. Murray I. 32. Spalding A. 2. Steele A. 26. Thomson J. 15. Watson K.
21. Demus B. (G) 20. Gaffney M. 17. Marshall F. 11. McGrath G. 2. Murray F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Muirhead A. ⚽, Taylor F. (A),
22', Megginson M. 🟨,
35', O'Brien T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Scully C. ↓, Marshall F. ↑,
69', Emslie A. ↓, Gaffney M. ↑,
73', King B. ↓, Dow R. ↑,
80', Penman C. ↓, Watson K. ↑,
85', Darge A. ↓, McGrath G. ↑,
90', Winter A. ↓, McKechnie K. ↑,
90+3', Stanton S. 🟨,
90+4', Megginson M. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Arbroath won 2.
Arbroath is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Cove is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Arbroath will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Arbroath won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.3:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Arbroath won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).