Match Info

League One - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Balmoral Stadium (Aberdeen)


	Cove Rangers		Kelty Hearts

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.2
	1.72	3.7	4.15
	1.77	3.95	3.84
	1.75	3.75	4.3	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.65	3.78	4.37	Watch
	1.62	3.66	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.66)	3.69 ↑ (3.62)	4.22 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cove Rangers
53.6%

Draw
24.8%

Kelty Hearts
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

25.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

24.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mutch R. (G) 15. Darge A. 6. Eguaibor J. 32. Parker L. 7. Harrington R. 8. Yule B. 17. McAllister R. 22. O'Donnell L. 77. Maguire C. 9. Megginson M. (C) 20. Eguaibor D.	46. Gourlay K. (G) 12. Fisher S. 35. Brydon J. 20. Corr D. 3. Paterson B. 6. Ferguson A. 15. Clay C. (C) 10. Murray I. 26. Cunningham R. 7. Moore L. 17. McCarvel L.
Substitutes
2. Bisland L. 26. Carroll L. 21. Demus B. (G) 18. Emslie A. 16. Masson C. 4. Strachan M. 14. Teasdale J.	21. Adamson R. (G) 8. Arnott A. 19. Bexfield C. 24. Cooper C. 14. Graham J. 30. Leitch G. 18. Pettifer A. 2. Thomas M. 27. Wyllie J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Brydon J. ⚽, Fisher S. (A),
45', Eguaibor J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Eguaibor D. ↓, Teasdale J. ↑,
46', McAllister R. ↓, Emslie A. ↑,
63', Cunningham R. ↓, Pettifer A. ↑,
68', Maguire C. ↓, Masson C. ↑,
72', Harrington R. 🟨,
73', Murray I. ↓, Graham J. ↑,
73', Clay C. 🟨,
80', Fisher S. 🟨,
80', 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Masson C. ⚽,
83', Ferguson A. ↓, Arnott A. ↑,
83', Moore L. ↓, Cooper C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cove won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kelty Hearts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kelty Hearts has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cove is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cove won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cove won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Kelty Hearts: 5.2% Cove Rangers: 0.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cove Rangers	9	1	2	6	8:15	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
17.02.26	Cove Rangers - Montrose	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	East Fife - Cove Rangers	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Cove Rangers - Queen of the South	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Alloa Athletic - Cove Rangers	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTTL
- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
14.02.26	Kelty Hearts - Peterhead	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
07.02.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Kelty Hearts	2:0 ✺
Scottish League One
31.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Stenhousemuir	0:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	2:1 penalties
Scottish League One
20.12.25	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	2:5
27.09.25	Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts	0:2
26.04.25	Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts	2:2
11.03.25	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	0:4
14.12.24	Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts	0:0
14.09.24	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	1:3

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