Match Info

League One - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Galabank (Annan)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport


	Annan Athletic		East Fife

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.7	2.45	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.5
	2.42	3.55	2.6
	2.5	3.57	2.5
	2.52	3.57	2.57	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.4
	2.43	3.5	2.55
	2.42	3.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.37)	3.52 ↓ (3.63)	2.52 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annan Athletic
37.2%

Draw
26.2%

East Fife
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

25.4%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

25.5%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

East Fife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Annan Athletic - East Fife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 14. Muir R. 8. Todd J. 5. Muir T. (C) 15. Kilsby M. 23. Ross L. 7. McGowan P. 16. Smith P. 4. Dixon J. 10. Goss T. 9. Smith A.	21. McFarlane L. (G) 20. Bah M. 19. Munro A. 5. Easton B. 15. Peggie R. 22. McKenna M. 4. Millar K. 6. McManus C. 10. Trouten A. 14. Austin N. 16. Laaref A.
Substitutes
17. Brown A. 11. Carmichael D. 12. Fleming G. (G) 19. Maxwell C. 20. Strachan M.	1. Fleming A. (G) 11. Healy J. 18. Higginbotham K. 23. Jones R. 2. Murdoch S. 12. Nicol G. 7. Norey J. 9. Shepherd S. 8. Slattery P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Goss T. ⚽, Muir R. (A),
11', Laaref A. 🟨,
22', Goss T. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Laaref A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Muir R. ↓, Carmichael D. ↑,
62', Dixon J. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
63', Austin N. ↓, Jones R. ↑,
63', Laaref A. ↓, Healy J. ↑,
73', Trouten A. ↓, Shepherd S. ↑,
73', Peggie R. ↓, Murdoch S. ↑,
79', Kilsby M. ↓, Maxwell C. ↑,
80', Muir T. 🟨,
80', Millar K. ↓, Norey J. ↑,
85', McGowan P. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-3. 2nd leg.

Annan is League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Annan won 3.

Annan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

East Fife's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Annan won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Annan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 2.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annan Athletic
Scottish League One
13.05.25	East Fife - Annan Athletic	3:2 ✺
10.05.25	Annan Athletic - Elgin City	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Elgin City - Annan Athletic	2:4 ✺
03.05.25	Annan Athletic - Cove Rangers	2:4 ✺
26.04.25	Dumbarton - Annan Athletic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- East Fife
Scottish League One
13.05.25	East Fife - Annan Athletic	3:2 ✺
10.05.25	East Fife - Edinburgh City	3:0 ✺
06.05.25	Edinburgh City - East Fife	1:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
03.05.25	East Fife - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Peterhead - East Fife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
13.05.25	East Fife - Annan Athletic	3:2
Scottish League Two
01.04.23	East Fife - Annan Athletic	0:1
28.01.23	Annan Athletic - East Fife	3:0
03.12.22	East Fife - Annan Athletic	1:3
17.09.22	Annan Athletic - East Fife	2:2
12.03.16	East Fife - Annan Athletic	4:2
16.01.16	Annan Athletic - East Fife	2:4

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