Match Info

League One - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: MGM Timber Bayview Stadium (Methil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport


	East Fife		Annan Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.4
	1.93	3.4	3.2
	1.99	3.5	3.45
	1.96	3.62	3.59
	1.97	3.63	3.54	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.4
	1.94	3.54	3.52	Watch
	1.99	3.5	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)	3.51 ↑ (3.42)	3.44 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Fife
46.9%

Draw
26.3%

Annan Athletic
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26.9%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

25.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Fife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in East Fife's performance.

Annan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

East Fife - Annan Athletic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - East Fife (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. East Fife (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. McFarlane L. (G) 20. Bah M. 19. Munro A. 5. Easton B. 15. Peggie R. 4. Millar K. 6. McManus C. 22. McKenna M. 10. Trouten A. 16. Laaref A. 14. Austin N.	1. Smith J. (G) 8. Todd J. 2. Hooper S. 15. Kilsby M. 14. Muir R. 7. McGowan P. 16. Smith P. 9. Smith A. 23. Ross L. 5. Muir T. (C) 4. Dixon J.
Substitutes
1. Fleming A. (G) 11. Healy J. 18. Higginbotham K. 23. Jones R. 2. Murdoch S. 12. Nicol G. 7. Norey J. 9. Shepherd S. 8. Slattery P.	22. Bisland L. 17. Brown A. 11. Carmichael D. 12. Fleming G. (G) 19. Maxwell C. 20. Strachan M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Trouten A. ⚽,
20', Smith P. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Munro A. ⚽, McKenna M. (A),
37', Smith P. ↓, Strachan M. ↑,
43', 2 - 1, McKenna M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 2, Smith A. ⚽,
58', Hooper S. 🟨,
66', Austin N. 🟨,
67', Millar K. ↓, Jones R. ↑,
67', Laaref A. ↓, Healy J. ↑,
68', Austin N. ↓, Norey J. ↑,
72', Hooper S. 🟥,
80', 3 - 2, Munro A. ⚽,
83', Muir R. ↓, Bisland L. ↑,
83', Dixon J. ↓, Maxwell C. ↑,
86', Bisland L. 🟨,
87', Bisland L. 🟨,
87', Healy J. 🟨,
89', Trouten A. 🟨,
90', Trouten A. ↓, Shepherd S. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Annan is League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, East Fife won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

East Fife is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, East Fife won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, East Fife won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Annan Athletic - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.7%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Fife
Scottish League One
10.05.25	East Fife - Edinburgh City	3:0 ✺
06.05.25	Edinburgh City - East Fife	1:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
03.05.25	East Fife - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Peterhead - East Fife	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	East Fife - Stirling Albion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW
- Annan Athletic
Scottish League One
10.05.25	Annan Athletic - Elgin City	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Elgin City - Annan Athletic	2:4 ✺
03.05.25	Annan Athletic - Cove Rangers	2:4 ✺
26.04.25	Dumbarton - Annan Athletic	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Annan Athletic - Arbroath	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
01.04.23	East Fife - Annan Athletic	0:1
28.01.23	Annan Athletic - East Fife	3:0
03.12.22	East Fife - Annan Athletic	1:3
17.09.22	Annan Athletic - East Fife	2:2
12.03.16	East Fife - Annan Athletic	4:2
16.01.16	Annan Athletic - East Fife	2:4
31.10.15	East Fife - Annan Athletic	0:1

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