Match Info

League Two - Round 33

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Borough Briggs (Elgin)


	Elgin City		Annan Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.88	3.6	3.5
	1.83	3.75	3.78
	2.15	3.63	2.89	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.6
	1.83	3.56	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.16)	3.61 ↑ (3.47)	3.51 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elgin City
48.5%

Draw
25.4%

Annan Athletic
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

25.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elgin City's performance.

Annan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Annan Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elgin City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Elgin City - Annan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Elgin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Annan will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ritchie T. (G) 5. Girvan K. 10. Gallagher M. 16. Neill M. 19. Ross D. 26. Hickey R. 7. Dingwall R. (C) 4. Virtanen M. 20. Spalding A. 22. MacIver J. 9. Hester K.	1. Albinson C. (G) 14. Muir R. 6. Watson K. 2. Hooper S. 16. Clark C. 8. Smith P. 33. Gibson W. 4. Dixon J. 15. Sowa J. 5. Muir T. (C) 10. Goss T.
Substitutes
12. Cairns O. 8. Cameron B. 17. Hyde L. 27. Machado M. 6. Murray J. 11. Sargent R. 21. Taylor C. (G) 25. Thompson R. 24. Walker J.	20. Carrick D. 12. Clarke G. (G) 3. Kilsby M. 19. Maxwell C. 7. McGowan P. 18. Mumbongo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Sowa J. ↓, Maxwell C. ↑,
30', Hooper S. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Ross D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Gallagher M. ↓, Sargent R. ↑,
57', Gibson W. 🟨,
62', Neill M. 🟨,
65', Spalding A. ↓, Murray J. ↑,
65', Hickey R. ↓, Hyde L. ↑,
68', Girvan K. 🟨,
76', MacIver J. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
79', Watson K. 🟨,
85', 0 - 2, Gibson W. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Virtanen M. 🟨,
87', Smith P. ↓, McGowan P. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 3, Goss T. ⚽, Muir T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 2.

Elgin is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Annan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Elgin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:33. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Elgin won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Elgin City: 11.71% Annan: 2.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Elgin City	9	4	2	3	25:16	9	14
9	Annan	9	3	0	6	9:11	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Elgin City - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.07%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Annan Athletic - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 31.68%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
04.04.26	Forfar Athletic - Elgin City	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Elgin City - Clyde	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Elgin City - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Edinburgh City - Elgin City	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Elgin City - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWT
- Annan Athletic
Scottish League Two
04.04.26	East Kilbride - Annan Athletic	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Annan Athletic - Stranraer	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Dumbarton - Annan Athletic	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Annan Athletic - Edinburgh City	3:0 ✺
10.03.26	Annan Athletic - Elgin City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
10.03.26	Annan Athletic - Elgin City	2:1
01.11.25	Elgin City - Annan Athletic	2:0
02.08.25	Annan Athletic - Elgin City	3:2
Scottish League One
10.05.25	Annan Athletic - Elgin City	1:2
06.05.25	Elgin City - Annan Athletic	2:4
Scottish League Two
11.03.23	Annan Athletic - Elgin City	4:1
14.01.23	Elgin City - Annan Athletic	1:1

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