Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)

Referee: Abed K. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 8
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Annecy		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.9	1.75	Watch
	3.85	3.6	1.82
	3.44	3.58	2.16
	4.34	3.65	1.72	Watch
	4.11	3.91	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↓ (4.34)	3.73 ↑ (3.65)	1.84 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Annecy
23.7%

Draw
25.2%

Saint-Étienne
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.2%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

24.8%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annecy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	21.1%	73.7%

Annecy - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Annecy will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Saint-Étienne will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Callens T. (G) 41. Delphis T. 18. Drouhin A. 27. Kouadio J. 2. Rowe T. 25. Venot P. 5. Kashi A. (C) 33. Paris Q. 28. Larose A. 22. Billemaz C. 20. Tiendrebeogo J.	30. Larsonneur G. (C) 3. Nade M. 19. Annan E. 21. Batubinsika D. 13. Ferreira J. 28. Miladinovic I. 10. Tardieu F. 5. Jaber M. 20. Boakye A. 9. Stassin L. 22. Davitashvili Z.
Substitutes
29. Casadei A. . Gonzalez M. (G) 8. Hbouch A. 6. Lajugie F. 9. Rambaud T. 71. Toure B. 23. Veillon M.	8. Appiah D. 7. Cardona I. 17. Duffus J. 31. El Jamali N. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 29. Moueffek A. 11. Old B.
Coaches
Guyot L.	Horneland E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Larose A. ⚽, Billemaz C. (A),
13', Miladinovic I. 🟥,
18', Drouhin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', Tiendrebeogo J. 🟨,
60', Larose A. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
61', Tiendrebeogo J. ↓, Hbouch A. ↑,
61', Billemaz C. ↓, Veillon M. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Paris Q. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
69', Paris Q. ↓, Rambaud T. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Toure B. ⚽,
73', Stassin L. ↓, Old B. ↑,
73', Boakye A. ↓, Cardona I. ↑,
74', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
79', Tardieu F. ↓, El Jamali N. ↑,
81', Venot P. ↓, Casadei A. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 0, Rambaud T. ⚽, Toure B. (A),

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Annecy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Saint-Étienne will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Annecy: Billemaz C. (Inactive) Jusseron-Veniere K. (Ankle Injury) Lajugie F. (Injury) N'Sakala F. (Inactive) Pajot V. (Inactive) Venot P. (Inactive)

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M. (Red Card) Ekwah P. (Inactive) Gadegbeku L. (Ankle Injury) Lamba C. (Inactive) Traore L. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Annecy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Annecy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annecy FC
French Ligue 2
17.10.25	Clermont - Annecy	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Annecy - Laval	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Troyes - Annecy	3:1 ✺
23.09.25	Annecy - Nancy	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Grenoble - Annecy	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTLLW
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
18.10.25	Saint-Étienne - Le Mans	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Montpellier - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Saint-Étienne - Guingamp	2:3 ✺
23.09.25	Amiens - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Saint-Étienne - Reims	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
24.02.24	Saint-Étienne - Annecy	2:1
28.08.23	Annecy - Saint-Étienne	1:1
Club Friendly
26.07.23	Annecy - Saint-Étienne	2:3
French Ligue 2
04.02.23	Saint-Étienne - Annecy	3:2
26.12.22	Annecy - Saint-Étienne	2:1

Upcoming Matches