Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Batta F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Troyes		Annecy

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	6	Watch
	1.52	3.8	6.1
	1.56	3.97	6.8
	1.16	6.31	21.52	Watch
	1.57	3.84	5.78	Watch
	1.62	3.9	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.6)	4.27 ↑ (4.05)	8.53 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
65.6%

Draw
22.9%

Annecy
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

23.5%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Troyes's performance.

Annecy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Annecy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annecy than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Annecy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Troyes - Annecy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Troyes (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1, 1st Half - Troyes (4.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Troyes (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Troyes will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Troyes will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lemaitre N. (G) 44. Titi Y. 6. Monfray A. (C) 25. Gozzi P. 14. Boura I. 8. Diop M. 5. Adeline M. 10. Ifnaoui M. 17. Mille A. 15. Assoumou J. 9. El Idrissy M.	1. Escales F. (G) 41. Delphis T. 2. Rowe T. 27. Kouadio J. 3. Koutoune H. 17. Pajot V. 5. Kashi A. (C) 23. Veillon M. 71. Toure B. 33. Paris Q. 8. Hbouch A.
Substitutes
21. Bentayeb T. 11. Detourbet M. 23. Gambor H. 40. Konate H. (G) 35. Murcy R. 12. Odede E. 3. Ouzenadji A.	22. Billemaz C. 16. Callens T. (G) 29. Casadei A. 18. Drouhin A. 9. Rambaud T. 20. Tiendrebeogo J. 25. Venot P.
Coaches
Dumont S.	Guyot L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, El Idrissy M. ⚽, Titi Y. (A),
36', Gozzi P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Koutoune H. ↓, Billemaz C. ↑,
59', Kouadio J. 🟨,
68', El Idrissy M. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Assoumou J. ⚽, Diop M. (A),
72', Toure B. ↓, Venot P. ↑,
72', Hbouch A. ↓, Tiendrebeogo J. ↑,
72', Paris Q. ↓, Rambaud T. ↑,
81', Adeline M. ↓, Gambor H. ↑,
85', Lemaitre N. 🟨,
87', 3 - 0, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Mille A. (A),
89', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
90', Assoumou J. ↓, Odede E. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Tiendrebeogo J. ⚽, Venot P. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 12).

Troyes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Annecy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Troyes is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Troyes: Maronnier L. (Inactive) Phliponeau A. (Muscle Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Annecy: Jusseron-Veniere K. (Inactive) Lajugie F. (Injury) Larose A. (Inactive) Makutungu C. (Inactive) N'Sakala F. (Inactive) Neelakandan R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Troyes: Assoumou J. (Injury) Ripart R. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Troyes will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
23.09.25	Red Star - Troyes	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Troyes - Guingamp	5:2 ✺
12.09.25	Troyes - Nancy	3:0 ✺
29.08.25	Dunkerque - Troyes	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Troyes - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW
- Annecy FC
French Ligue 2
23.09.25	Annecy - Nancy	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Grenoble - Annecy	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Annecy - Reims	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Red Star - Annecy	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Amiens - Annecy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.01.25	Troyes - Annecy	0:1
24.09.24	Annecy - Troyes	1:0
17.05.24	Troyes - Annecy	1:1
16.09.23	Annecy - Troyes	0:0

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