Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Antigua GFC		Maglódi

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	4
	2	2.85	3.6
	2.02	2.95	3.65
	2.11	2.98	4.04
	1.91	3.1	3.8
	1.86	3.34	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (1.98)	3.04 ↓ (3.28)	3.85 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antigua GFC
46.3%

Draw
30%

Maglódi
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

19.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antigua GFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Maglódi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antigua GFC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maglódi than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maglódi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Antigua GFC - Maglódi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Antigua is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maglódi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Antigua could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Antigua will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Antigua won 9 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Antigua won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
02.12.20	Antigua GFC - Santa Lucia	3:2 ✺
29.11.20	Deportivo Guastatoya - Antigua GFC	2:2 ✺
25.11.20	Municipal - Antigua GFC	4:0 ✺
22.11.20	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Achuapa	2:0 ✺
08.11.20	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Sanarate	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWT
- Maglódi TC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
28.11.20	Maglódi - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
25.11.20	Maglódi - Santa Lucia	2:0 ✺
21.11.20	Xelajú - Maglódi	0:0 ✺
18.11.20	Deportivo Iztapa - Maglódi	1:0 ✺
31.10.20	Maglódi - Deportivo Guastatoya	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.02.20	Maglódi - Antigua GFC	0:2
21.12.19	Maglódi - Antigua GFC	1:1
18.12.19	Antigua GFC - Maglódi	1:0
02.11.19	Maglódi - Antigua GFC	2:0
25.08.19	Antigua GFC - Maglódi	2:1
05.05.19	Antigua GFC - Maglódi	4:1
03.04.19	Maglódi - Antigua GFC	2:3

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