Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Estepona		Minera

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	2.72
	2.42	2.98	2.96	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.75
	2.46	3.21	2.85
	2.36	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.43)	3.02 ↑ (2.97)	2.86 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
37.8%

Draw
30.2%

Minera
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

31.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Minera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minera than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Estepona - Minera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Estepona is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Minera is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Estepona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CD Estepona	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Estepona - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.25%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.01.26	La Unión - Estepona	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Estepona - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Estepona - Puente Genil	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Melilla - Estepona	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Estepona - Xerez Deportivo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTLLL
- CD Minera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.01.26	Minera - Puente Genil	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Antoniano - Minera	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Minera - CD Extremadura	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Malagueño - Minera	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Minera - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.09.25	Minera - Estepona	1:0
27.04.25	Minera - Estepona	0:1
15.12.24	Estepona - Minera	1:1

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