Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Nuevo Colombino (Huelva)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Recreativo Huelva		Estepona

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.25	4.45
	1.79	3.29	4.43	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.84	3.36	4.41
	1.81	3.14	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.44)	3.23 ↓ (3.69)	4.42 ↓ (7.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recreativo Huelva
51%

Draw
28.3%

Estepona
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

24.6%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

23.3%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recreativo Huelva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Recreativo Huelva's form might have worsened.

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estepona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Recreativo Huelva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estepona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Recreativo Huelva - Estepona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Estepona (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Estepona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Bernal A. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, da Costa M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, Roni ⚽,
63', 4 - 0, Romero P. ⚽,
86', 5 - 0, Quintana C. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recreativo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Estepona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Recreativo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Recreativo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Recreativo Huelva	5	4	0	1	10:4	6	12
8	CD Estepona	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.01.26	Malaga B - Recreativo Huelva	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Recreativo Huelva - CD Extremadura	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Melilla - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Recreativo Huelva - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Recreativo Huelva - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTWL
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.01.26	Estepona - Minera	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	La Unión - Estepona	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Estepona - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Estepona - Puente Genil	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Melilla - Estepona	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.09.25	Estepona - Recreativo Huelva	0:1

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