Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Antoniano		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.88	2.82
	2.56	3	2.88
	2.59	2.87	2.84	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.5	2.84	2.79
	2.5	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.29)	2.9 ↓ (3)	2.82 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antoniano
36.2%

Draw
31.5%

Lorca Deportiva
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

32.8%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antoniano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antoniano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Antoniano - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Revuelta A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Fernandez S. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Otero M. ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent performances by Antoniano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lorca Deportiva is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lorca Deportiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lorca Deportiva has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Antoniano
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Antoniano - Villarreal	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.11.25	Almeria B - Antoniano	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Antoniano - Linares Deportivo	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Estepona - Antoniano	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Antoniano - Puente Genil	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTLWW
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.11.25	Lorca Deportiva - Atlético Malagueño	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Lorca Deportiva - Melilla	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Xerez CD - Lorca Deportiva	0:1 ✺
12.11.25	Lorca Deportiva - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Lorca Deportiva - Minera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWWWW

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