Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 8

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Retrô Brasil		Guarani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.85	3.3
	2.19	2.8	3.45
	2.42	2.97	3.47
	2.3	2.81	3.66
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.32	3.09	3.19	Watch
	2.19	2.8	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.94)	2.89 ↓ (3.35)	3.4 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
41.1%

Draw
31.9%

Guarani
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.2%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Retrô Brasil's form might have worsened.

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Retrô Brasil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Retrô Brasil - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Retrô will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Retrô (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fabian Volpi (G) 3. Claudinho 2. Gedeilson 20. Gledson 6. Gustavo Salomao 11. Junior Fialho 26. Ly I. 21. Marquinhos 9. Mascote 29. Mendonca 8. Radsley	1. Andrey Ventura (G) 4. Alan Santos (C) 10. Caio Mello 6. Emerson 8. Giva 9. Isaque 7. Luiz Miguel 2. Mateus Sarara 5. Nathan Camargo 11. Rafael Bilu 3. Raphael
Substitutes
13. Bruno Peres 17. Diego Guerra 25. Eduardo 7. Fabinho 18. Franco R. 14. Gogo 27. Jonas 28. Lucas Grafite 1. Paulo Gianezini (G) 19. Rayne Assis 5. Romulo 15. Walce	12. Emerson Junior (G) 13. Leo Coltro 14. Lucao 20. Lucas Justen 17. Marcelinho 18. Michael 19. Rai Nascimento 16. Vinicius Kaue 15. Vinicius Yuji
Coaches
Wires	Fernandes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Emerson ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Rafael Bilu ⚽,
38', Gedeilson ↓, Jonas ↑,
42', Isaque 🟨,
45+4', Rafael Bilu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gledson ↓, Bruno Peres ↑,
46', Marquinhos ↓, Franco R. ↑,
49', Claudinho 🟨,
56', Claudinho ↓, Fabinho ↑,
61', Isaque ↓, Michael ↑,
65', Luiz Miguel ↓, Lucas Justen ↑,
66', Caio Mello ↓, Lucao ↑,
67', Jonas 🟨,
74', Raphael 🟨,
76', Rafael Bilu ↓, Rai Nascimento ↑,
76', Giva ↓, Vinicius Yuji ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Retrô may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Retrô has had a series of away games.

Retrô might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie C
25.05.25	Botafogo PB - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.05.25	Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.25	Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Caxias - Retrô Brasil	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Floresta - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LWWLL
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
26.05.25	Guarani - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Floresta - Guarani	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Guarani - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Guarani - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Caxias - Guarani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLWL

Retrô Brasil - Guarani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide