Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Aoiz		Peña Sport

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	1.77
	4.05	3.15	1.82
	4.45	3.61	1.71
	4.13	3.44	1.81	Watch
	4	3.3	1.75
	3.84	3.64	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.94)	3.37 ↓ (3.5)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aoiz
22.1%

Draw
27%

Peña Sport
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26.2%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

25.3%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aoiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Peña Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aoiz than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Aoiz - Peña Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Aoiz has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Peña Sport is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Peña Sport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Peña Sport is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aoiz	5	2	3	0	5:2	3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Aoiz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
18.03.26	Artajonés - Aoiz	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cirbonero - Aoiz	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Aoiz - Egüés	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Aoiz - Huarte	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Subiza - Aoiz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
18.03.26	Peña Sport - Cortes	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Peña Sport - Egüés	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Huarte - Peña Sport	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Oberena - Peña Sport	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Peña Sport - Izarra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL

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