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Current Win Probability
Panathinaikos 62.9%
Draw 23.5%
Apollon Smyrni 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
15%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Apollon Smyrni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-25.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panathinaikos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Apollon Smyrni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.1%
12.9%
29%
Panathinaikos - Apollon Smyrni Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%). Apollon Smyrni will win (votes: 9 - 29%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 40.7% โ 75.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Panathinaikos has the most likely position - 4 (16.3%), has project points - 53, has currently - 0, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (12%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Apollon Smyrni has the most likely position - 14 (13.11%), has project points - 37, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
The competitors look crappy now.
Panathinaikos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Apollon Smyrni have a series of guest games.
In this match Panathinaikos is indisputable favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Panathinaikos won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Panathinaikos won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.