Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium (Tripoli)

Referee: Katoikos K. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	SportKlub


	Asteras Tripolis		Apollon Smyrni

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	7	Watch
	1.49	3.9	7
	1.48	3.85	6.25
	1.47	3.85	6.8
	1.49	4.21	6.99
	1.44	3.7	7.5
	1.5	4.1	7.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	3.94 ↓ (4.13)	6.96 ↓ (7.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asteras Tripolis
63.1%

Draw
23.6%

Apollon Smyrni
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

22.8%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21.9%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Apollon Smyrni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Asteras Tripolis - Apollon Smyrni Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Apollon Smyrni will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This event has small quality 17, very small importance 0, very small match rating 9. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Asteras Tripolis won 4.

Asteras Tripolis is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Apollon Smyrni is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Asteras Tripolis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Asteras Tripolis is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Asteras Tripolis won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Asteras Tripolis won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League
08.05.22	OFI - Asteras Tripolis	1:0 ✺
02.05.22	Asteras Tripolis - Lamia	0:2 ✺
16.04.22	Panetolikos - Asteras Tripolis	0:0 ✺
09.04.22	Asteras Tripolis - Ionikos Nikaias	2:3 ✺
02.04.22	Asteras Tripolis - Atromitos Athens	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLT
- Apollon Smyrni FC
Greek Super League
07.05.22	Apollon Smyrni - Lamia	0:0 ✺
02.05.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Apollon Smyrni	5:1 ✺
16.04.22	Apollon Smyrni - Volos	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	OFI - Apollon Smyrni	1:2 ✺
02.04.22	Apollon Smyrni - Panetolikos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
24.01.22	Asteras Tripolis - Apollon Smyrni	1:0
16.10.21	Apollon Smyrni - Asteras Tripolis	0:1
Club Friendly
04.08.21	Asteras Tripolis - Apollon Smyrni	4:0
Greek Super League
10.01.21	Apollon Smyrni - Asteras Tripolis	0:1
25.11.20	Asteras Tripolis - Apollon Smyrni	0:0
03.02.19	Apollon Smyrni - Asteras Tripolis	0:2
Greek Cup
25.09.18	Asteras Tripolis - Apollon Smyrni	2:1

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