Match Info

Date: 15 April 2022, Friday


	Aragua		Carabobo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.2	2.85	3.15
	2.38	2.85	2.9
	2.37	2.57	2.89
	2.4	2.9	2.9
	2.42	3.18	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.5)	2.88 ↑ (2.87)	2.99 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aragua
38.7%

Draw
31.3%

Carabobo
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

31.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

33.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Aragua - Carabobo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aragua won 0.

Recent matches Aragua is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carabobo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carabobo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aragua will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Aragua won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 13-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Aragua won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
07.04.22	Zamora - Aragua	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Aragua - Zulia	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Mineros de Guayana - Aragua	0:3 ✺
18.03.22	Aragua - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:1 ✺
10.03.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Aragua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWLL
- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.04.22	Carabobo - Deportivo Táchira	3:1 ✺
01.04.22	Metropolitanos - Carabobo	0:0 ✺
24.03.22	Carabobo - Zamora	1:1 ✺
17.03.22	Carabobo - Mineros de Guayana	3:1 ✺
11.03.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
22.10.21	Aragua - Carabobo	2:1
01.09.21	Carabobo - Aragua	2:0
18.07.21	Aragua - Carabobo	2:0
30.05.21	Carabobo - Aragua	3:1
21.09.19	Carabobo - Aragua	2:1
30.03.19	Aragua - Carabobo	0:0
22.09.18	Carabobo - Aragua	0:0

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