Match Info

Date: 12 May 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez (Maracay)


	Aragua		Universidad Central

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.2	Watch
	2.18	2.8	3.3
	2.22	2.65	3.5
	2.32	2.31	3.84
	2.25	2.8	3.3
	2.35	2.73	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.18)	2.67 ↓ (2.82)	3.46 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aragua
39.9%

Draw
33.9%

Universidad Central
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

32.1%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

31.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Aragua - Universidad Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aragua will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Universidad Central will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aragua: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

Recent matches Aragua is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Universidad Central is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aragua will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.05.22	Monagas - Aragua	3:1 ✺
28.04.22	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	1:1 ✺
21.04.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Aragua	3:3 ✺
15.04.22	Aragua - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
07.04.22	Zamora - Aragua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTTTT
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
08.05.22	Universidad Central - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:2 ✺
01.05.22	Universidad Central - Mineros de Guayana	0:2 ✺
23.04.22	Monagas - Universidad Central	1:0 ✺
14.04.22	Zulia - Universidad Central	2:2 ✺
10.04.22	Universidad Central - Hermanos Colmenares	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLTL

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