Match Info

Date: 3 November 2020, Tuesday


	Aragvi Dusheti		Samgurali Tskhaltubo

	1	X	2
	5.6	4.64	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↑ (5.45)	4.64 ↑ (4.5)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 11.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aragvi Dusheti
16%

Draw
19.3%

Samgurali Tskhaltubo
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

19.9%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

16.7%

75.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aragvi Dusheti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Samgurali Tskhaltubo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragvi Dusheti than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samgurali Tskhaltubo than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samgurali Tskhaltubo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion to Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Promotion)).

Aragvi Dusheti is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Samgurali is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Samgurali is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aragvi Dusheti won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aragvi Dusheti
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
28.10.20	Aragvi Dusheti - Zugdidi	1:2 ✺
21.10.20	Shukura Kobuleti - Aragvi Dusheti	5:0 ✺
05.10.20	Aragvi Dusheti - Merani Martvili	1:1 ✺
01.10.20	Gagra - Aragvi Dusheti	2:1 ✺
23.09.20	Aragvi Dusheti - WIT Georgia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLTLW
- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
27.10.20	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - WIT Georgia	0:0 ✺
20.10.20	Zugdidi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:4 ✺
30.09.20	Shukura Kobuleti - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:0 ✺
Georgian Cup
26.09.20	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Telavi	2:0 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
22.09.20	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Rustavi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
05.08.20	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Aragvi Dusheti	2:0

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