Match Info

GEORGIA: CRYSTALBET EROVNULI LIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 6 June 2023, Tuesday

Location: Chele Arena (Kobuleti)


	Shukura Kobuleti		Samgurali Tskhaltubo

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.33	1.49
	5.04	4.13	1.47
	5.25	4.2	1.47
	5.3	4.6	1.47	Watch
	5	4.5	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↑ (3.99)	4.35 ↑ (3.51)	1.48 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shukura Kobuleti
18%

Draw
20.8%

Samgurali Tskhaltubo
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

25.8%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

25.8%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shukura Kobuleti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Samgurali Tskhaltubo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samgurali Tskhaltubo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shukura Kobuleti than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samgurali Tskhaltubo than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samgurali Tskhaltubo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Shukura Kobuleti - Samgurali Tskhaltubo Predictions

Users Predictions: Samgurali Tskhaltubo will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Abramishvili G. (G) 20. Kurdadze L. 4. Chakvetadze A. 6. Kasradze L. 8. Patsatsia T. 17. Janelidze G. 10. Sardalishvili M. (C) 13. Gazdeliani G. 22. Lekvtadze I. 19. Mujiri D. 9. Mzwakali B.	13. Kalichava N. (G) 17. Verulidze A. 4. Patarkatsishvili O. 8. Maisashvili D. (C) 16. Bull 6. Lominadze N. 20. Arthur J. 30. Khorkheli N. 33. de A. J. 5. Kalandarishvili N. 9. Nikabadze G.
Substitutes
3. Ananidze A. 5. Andronikashvili A. 11. Apkhazava G. 14. Asatiani L. 15. Gelashvili S. 1. Kulua G. (G) 30. Kvaratskhelia L. 23. Lortkipanidze L. 7. Verulidze B.	21. Basheleishvili M. 10. Chikhladze D. 29. Chikhradze L. 14. Gomez C. 15. Kagayama T. 23. Karimov M. 11. Khorkheli L. 22. Kikabidze T. 19. Shovnadze L. (G)
Coaches
Sosiashvili U.	Tchelidze G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shukura won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Samgurali is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Shukura won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Shukura won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shukura Kobuleti
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
01.06.23	Shukura Kobuleti - Gagra	3:4 ✺
28.05.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Shukura Kobuleti	1:2 ✺
24.05.23	Shukura Kobuleti - Samtredia	2:2 ✺
20.05.23	Dinamo Tbilisi - Shukura Kobuleti	4:4 ✺
15.05.23	Shukura Kobuleti - Dila Gori	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 LWTTL
- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
01.06.23	Samtredia - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	0:2 ✺
28.05.23	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dila Gori	2:2 ✺
24.05.23	Iberia 1999 - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	5:1 ✺
20.05.23	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Batumi	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
30.04.23	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Shukura Kobuleti	4:1
04.03.23	Shukura Kobuleti - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1
Georgian Cup
24.11.21	Shukura Kobuleti - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:3
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
01.11.21	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Shukura Kobuleti	0:0
12.09.21	Shukura Kobuleti - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	0:0
16.05.21	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Shukura Kobuleti	1:0
20.03.21	Shukura Kobuleti - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:0

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