Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Independence Ground (Floriana)

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Floriana		Shamrock Rovers

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.30	1.91	Watch
	3.90	3.40	1.98
	3.95	3.45	1.88	Watch
	4.13	3.25	2.02
	4.1	3.47	1.88	Watch
	4.10	3.00	2.01
	3.89	3.49	1.97	Watch
	3.75	3.20	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (2.96)	3.32 ↓ (3.39)	1.95 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Floriana
23.9%

Draw
28.2%

Shamrock Rovers
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

27.6%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Floriana's form might have worsened.

Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shamrock Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Floriana - Shamrock Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Floriana will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Shamrock will win (votes: 22 - 95.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shamrock: 87.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Floriana (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Shamrock (3.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Floriana (votes: 1 - 25%). Shamrock (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cioletti G. (G) 21. Zammit Lonardelli C. 17. Spiteri O. 4. Kauan 3. Beerman M. 14. Kurtalic A. 12. Vella D. (C) 11. Muric R. 10. Varela F. 9. Dervisagic K. 19. Jah M.	1. McGinty E. (G) 5. Grace L. (C) 3. Stevens E. 27. O'Sullivan C. 11. Mulraney J. 7. Watts D. 8. Healy M. 29. Byrne J. 19. Brennan A. 31. Noonan M. 10. Burke G.
Substitutes
16. Chapi 6. Drina A. 22. Gudelj T. 88. N Dri A. C. 80. Picon P. (G) 20. Piscopo E. 5. Rodgers G. 8. Scerri Z. 27. Vella Newell Z.	15. Asamoah M. 33. Barrett C. 9. Greene A. 38. Kovalevskis M. 88. McGovern J. 41. Noonan A. (G) 17. O'Regan L. 26. O'Sullivan J. 28. Razi N. 25. Steacy L. (G)
Coaches
Portela D.	Bradley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Muric R. ⚽, Varela F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Healy M. 🟨,
58', Healy M. 🟨,
64', Mulraney J. ↓, O'Regan L. ↑,
64', Watts D. ↓, O'Sullivan J. ↑,
66', Dervisagic K. ↓, N Dri A. C. ↑,
71', Vella D. ↓, Chapi ↑,
71', Noonan M. ↓, McGovern J. ↑,
72', Burke G. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Jah M. ⚽,
80', Jah M. 🟨,
81', Muric R. ↓, Gudelj T. ↑,
81', Jah M. ↓, Scerri Z. ↑,
83', Zammit Lonardelli C. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Shamrock is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Floriana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shamrock is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Shamrock Rovers - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floriana FC
Maltese Premier League
16.05.26	Floriana - Marsaxlokk	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Valletta - Floriana	0:1 penalties ✺
30.04.26	Gżira United - Floriana	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Floriana - Hamrun Spartans	1:4 ✺
18.04.26	Floriana - Valletta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLW
- Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division
03.07.26	Sligo Rovers - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.26	Shamrock Rovers - Hibernian	1:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
26.06.26	Shamrock Rovers - Galway United	3:1 ✺
22.06.26	Shamrock Rovers - Derry City	1:1 ✺
19.06.26	Waterford - Shamrock Rovers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWTW

Upcoming Matches