Match Info
Premier League - Round 21Date: 27 February 2026, Friday
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Bahir Dar Kenema |
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Arba Minch |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.08 |
2.72 |
3.85 |
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2.19 |
2.68 |
3.92 |
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2.19 |
2.64 |
3.97 |
 Watch |
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2.15 |
2.5 |
3.75 |
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2.12 |
2.66 |
3.94 |
Watch |
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2.08 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.08) |
2.68 ↓
(2.9) |
3.82 ↑
(3.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bahir Dar Kenema
42.5% | Draw
33.8% | Arba Minch
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+1.4%)Bahir Dar Kenema - Arba Minch Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahir Dar (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Bahir Dar (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahir Dar (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 20', 0 - 1, Shamena B. ⚽,
- 31', 0 - 2, Yasin Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. Bahir Dar might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Bahir Dar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 48 |
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| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 35 |
Last Results with these Odds
Bahir Dar Kenema - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.26%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 24.10.25 | Arba Minch - Bahir Dar Kenema | 1:1 | | 28.05.25 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Arba Minch | 0:2 | | 26.10.24 | Arba Minch - Bahir Dar Kenema | 1:0 | | 02.05.23 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Arba Minch | 2:2 | | 26.12.22 | Arba Minch - Bahir Dar Kenema | 0:2 | | 20.04.22 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Arba Minch | 0:1 | | 21.11.21 | Arba Minch - Bahir Dar Kenema | 2:1 |
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