The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arba Minch 26.9%
Draw 34.9%
Negele Arsi Ketema 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.9%
31.5%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
31.4%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Negele Arsi Ketema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Negele Arsi Ketema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arba Minch - Negele Arsi Ketema Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Tefera D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
64', 🟥,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3).
Arba Minch is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Negele Arsi Ketema is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Negele Arsi Ketema will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.