Match Info

Premier League - Round 35

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday


	Arba Minch		Shire Endaselassie

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.6	3.2
	2.35	2.78	3.1
	2.3	2.85	3.19
	2.39	2.75	3.35	Watch
	2.3	2.5	3.3
	2.33	2.81	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.8)	2.72 ↑ (2.65)	3.22 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arba Minch
38.7%

Draw
33.2%

Shire Endaselassie
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

34%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

36.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arba Minch's performance.

Shire Endaselassie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shire Endaselassie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Arba Minch - Shire Endaselassie Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Arba Minch will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Sihul Shire will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Abdul Rahaman M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Abdul Rahaman M. 🟥,
90+5', 2 - 0, Benti T. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Arba Minch is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Arba Minch - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.14%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
28.05.26	Mechal - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Arba Minch - Sidama Coffee	0:3 ✺
16.05.26	Hawassa City - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Arba Minch - Welayta Dicha	2:3 ✺
05.05.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Arba Minch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLTLW
- Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopian Premier League
29.05.26	Shire Endaselassie - Hadiya Hossana	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
14.05.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Adama City - Shire Endaselassie	4:0 ✺
05.05.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethio Electric	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
21.01.26	Shire Endaselassie - Arba Minch	1:0
20.04.25	Arba Minch - Shire Endaselassie	0:0
18.01.25	Shire Endaselassie - Arba Minch	0:1

Arba Minch - Shire Endaselassie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide