Match Info

Stars League - Round 18

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Franso Hariri Stadium (Arbil)


	Arbil		Zakho

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.68	2.88
	2.56	2.57	2.96
	2.59	2.7	2.97	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.9
	2.55	2.64	2.92	Watch
	2.57	2.57	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.7)	2.63 ↓ (2.7)	2.94 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arbil
35.2%

Draw
34.2%

Zakho
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

34.2%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Zakho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zakho than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Arbil - Zakho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 1, Orinho ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Zakho may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Arbil won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Erbil	8	5	2	1	12:3	9	17
12	Zakho	8	2	3	3	7:11	-4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbil
Iraqi Premier League
05.02.26	Arbil - Al-Naft	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Amanat Baghdad - Arbil	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Al-Karkh - Arbil	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Arbil - Al-Talaba	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Al-Zawraa - Arbil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTLL
- Zakho
Gulf Club Champions League
10.02.26	Al Qadsia - Zakho	1:0 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
05.02.26	Al-Zawraa - Zakho	4:2 ✺
01.02.26	Zakho - Al-Minaa	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Najaf - Zakho	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Zakho - Duhok	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
14.02.25	Arbil - Zakho	0:0
07.11.24	Zakho - Arbil	3:1
22.05.24	Zakho - Arbil	2:1
30.04.22	Arbil - Zakho	1:3
31.10.20	Arbil - Zakho	1:1
22.10.19	Arbil - Zakho	1:1
19.07.13	Arbil - Zakho	2:1

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