Match Info

Irish Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport


	Ards		Cliftonville

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.2	1.39
	8.4	4.8	1.33
	8.02	4.74	1.33	Watch
	8.9	4.7	1.32
	8.4	4.8	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.99 ↑ (4.83)	4.65 ↑ (3.99)	1.34 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ards
11.5%

Draw
19.8%

Cliftonville
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

23.1%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

20.5%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ards's form might have worsened.

Cliftonville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cliftonville's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ards, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cliftonville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ards - Cliftonville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moore A. (G) 5. Arthur R. 2. Greer M. 3. Maxwell C. 12. Mccart O. 20. Newell L. 6. Ruddy M. (C) 7. Scannell E. 14. Simpson E. 16. Steele A. 22. Tipton G.	24. Ridd L. (G) 4. Addis J. 14. Conlan L. 9. Curran R. 16. Gordon S. 19. Gormley J. 8. Hale R. 25. Keaney J. 7. Kearney S. 3. Stewart S. 26. Wilson H.
Substitutes
9. Barr Z. . Calderwood K. 21. Carson M. 18. Hunter R. 30. Matthews M. (G) 29. Roohi D. 17. Scannell C.	37. Corrigan R. 21. Glynn M. 40. Madden C. 28. McGuinness S. 1. Odumosu D. (G) 34. Parsons A. 6. Pettifer A.
Coaches
Bailie J.	Magilton J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Moore A. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Gormley J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Wilson H. ↓, Pettifer A. ↑,
52', Tipton G. ↓, Roohi D. ↑,
67', Mccart O. ↓, Hunter R. ↑,
69', Stewart S. ↓, Glynn M. ↑,
69', Curran R. ↓, Parsons A. ↑,
71', Ruddy M. 🟨,
73', 0 - 2, Parsons A. ⚽,
84', Hale R. ↓, Corrigan R. ↑,
84', Scannell E. ↓, Calderwood K. ↑,
85', Newell L. ↓, Scannell C. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Corrigan R. ⚽,
88', Gormley J. ↓, Madden C. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ards won 0.

Ards in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Cliftonville is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Cliftonville is certain favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Ards won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 14:44 (average 1:3.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ards won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:20 (average 0.9:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
22.03.25	Ards - Ballyclare Comrades	3:1 ✺
18.03.25	Institute FC - Ards	2:3 ✺
15.03.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Ards	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ards - Annagh United	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.03.25	Ards - Loughgall	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWWW
- Cliftonville FC
Northern Irish Premiership
22.03.25	Cliftonville - Carrick Rangers	3:0 ✺
18.03.25	Coleraine - Cliftonville	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Ballymena United - Cliftonville	1:0 ✺
12.03.25	Cliftonville - Dungannon Swifts	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
09.03.25	Glentoran - Cliftonville	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish League Cup
26.10.21	Ards - Cliftonville	1:4
Northern Irish Premiership
12.01.19	Cliftonville - Ards	4:1
15.12.18	Ards - Cliftonville	1:3
29.09.18	Cliftonville - Ards	3:1
23.03.18	Cliftonville - Ards	3:0
18.11.17	Ards - Cliftonville	0:1
12.08.17	Cliftonville - Ards	6:3

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