Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 16

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ballymena Showgrounds (Ballymena)

Referee: Morrison C. (Nir)


	Ballymena United		Cliftonville

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.95
	3.58	3.57	1.9	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.95
	3.69	3.34	1.89
	3.66	3.4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.6)	3.4 ↓ (3.58)	1.92 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballymena United
25.4%

Draw
26.9%

Cliftonville
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

25.7%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

25.5%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballymena United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cliftonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Ballymena United aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ballymena United - Cliftonville Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ballymena United will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Cliftonville will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Neill S. (G) 16. Clarke M. 31. Corbally K. 22. Edogun S. 3. Lafferty D. 25. Mccallion D. 21. McGeouch D. 26. Murray S. 11. O'Conchubhair D. 12. Rutkowski I. 5. Toure D.	31. Morrison P. (G) 22. Casey O. 9. Curran R. 42. Fapetu A. 36. Hawthorne K. 29. Healy B. 12. Leppard S. 45. McGarry S. 2. Pepper C. 41. Sheridan J. 6. Wilson H.
Substitutes
6. Ali G. 23. Breen D. (G) 18. Ebbe D. 41. Hood J. 8. Jarvis A. 14. Scott A. 20. Thompson J.	19. Gormley J. 8. Hale R. 15. Jordan R. 18. McCay C. 27. McStravick L. 32. McWoods E. 1. Ridd L. (G)
Coaches
Kearney O.	Magilton J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Rutkowski I. (Penalty Awarded),
15', 1 - 1, Hawthorne K. ⚽,
17', Sheridan J. 🟨,
25', Mccallion D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Corbally K. ↓, Scott A. ↑,
51', Murray S. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Rutkowski I. ⚽,
57', Hawthorne K. ↓, Jordan R. ↑,
66', Curran R. ↓, Hale R. ↑,
66', Sheridan J. ↓, McStravick L. ↑,
66', Fapetu A. ↓, McWoods E. ↑,
71', Healy B. 🟨,
81', Rutkowski I. ↓, Ebbe D. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Gormley J. ⚽,
90', O'Conchubhair D. ↓, Hood J. ↑,
90+2', McWoods E. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 3.

Ballymena United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cliftonville has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cliftonville will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ballymena United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Cliftonville: 0.84% Ballymena: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ballymena	9	3	3	3	13:11	2	12
9	Cliftonville	10	4	0	6	12:12	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballymena United
Northern Irish Premiership
30.12.25	Bangor - Ballymena United	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Ballymena United - Coleraine	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Ballymena United - Carrick Rangers	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Portadown - Ballymena United	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Ballymena United - Dungannon Swifts	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTLL
- Cliftonville FC
Northern Irish Premiership
30.12.25	Larne - Cliftonville	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Cliftonville - Crusaders	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Bangor - Cliftonville	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cliftonville - Glenavon	5:2 ✺
06.12.25	Glentoran - Cliftonville	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
13.09.25	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	3:2
05.04.25	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	5:0
15.03.25	Ballymena United - Cliftonville	1:0
16.11.24	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	0:1
21.09.24	Ballymena United - Cliftonville	3:2
20.01.24	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	3:0
23.12.23	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	2:0

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