Match Info

Super League - Round 8

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Kanjuruhan Stadium (Malang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Arema		Persita Tangerang

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.15	2.82	Watch
	2.4	3.36	2.82	Watch
	2.3	3	2.88
	2.23	3.18	2.96
	2.3	3.2	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.03)	3.18 ↓ (3.31)	2.86 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arema
39.5%

Draw
28.6%

Persita Tangerang
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arema's form might have worsened.

Persita Tangerang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Persita Tangerang's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arema than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persita Tangerang than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Persita Tangerang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20%	13.3%

Arema - Persita Tangerang Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Arema will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Persita will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arema: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arema (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Arema (1.67) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Arema (2.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Arema (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Persita (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 72. Setiawan B. 26. Luiz Gustavo 6. Guevara J. (C) 96. Iksan M. 25. Matheus Blade 14. Hariono J. 11. Tuharea S. 10. Valdeci 8. Fikri A. 27. Setiawan D.	29. Rodrigues I. (G) 66. Jardel M. 15. Fathoni C. 5. Kozubayev T. 19. Guseynov J. (C) 27. Zalnando 10. Bessa E. 33. Bae Sin-Young 77. Matheus Alves 7. Rodriguez R. 80. Caraka H.
Substitutes
29. Alfiansyah A. 15. Arjidan F. 70. Aryaguna D. 13. Balinsa S. G. 28. Betinho 20. Fachrezi R. 17. Mardiyanto D. 4. Odivan 21. Puleio I. 24. Rafli M. 41. Santoso D. 30. Satryo A. (G)	22. Alchoir F. 93. Andrejic A. 36. Djiaulhaq Z. 96. Kartika A. (G) 9. Nur Hardianto A. 69. Pamungkas R. (G) 44. Racic D. 92. Rindorindo A. 99. Sahrul E. 30. Saputra A. 6. Tuhuteru E.
Coaches
Marquinhos S.	Pena C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Tuharea S. 🟨,
8', Jardel M. ↓, Rindorindo A. ↑,
41', Guseynov J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tuharea S. ↓, Puleio I. ↑,
50', Iksan M. 🟨,
54', Bessa E. 🟨,
69', Rindorindo A. 🟥,
72', Matheus Alves ↓, Djiaulhaq Z. ↑,
74', Hariono J. ↓, Betinho ↑,
74', Setiawan B. ↓, Santoso D. ↑,
80', Fathoni C. 🟨,
81', Fathoni C. ↓, Nursofyan A. ↑,
82', Caraka H. ↓, Racic D. ↑,
82', Bessa E. ↓, Andrejic A. ↑,
87', Guevara J. ↓, Fachrezi R. ↑,
87', Setiawan D. ↓, Rafli M. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Andrejic A. ⚽, Rodriguez R. (A),
90+7', Djiaulhaq Z. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arema won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Persita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arema might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Arema won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:12. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Arema won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
23.12.25	Arema - Madura United	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Java United - Arema	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Arema	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Arema - Persija Jakarta	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Semen Padang - Arema	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTLW
- Persita Tangerang
Indonesian Super League
21.12.25	Persita Tangerang - Persik Kediri	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Dewa United - Persita Tangerang	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Persita Tangerang - Java United	0:0 ✺
06.11.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persita Tangerang	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Bhayangkara - Persita Tangerang	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
20.04.25	Persita Tangerang - Arema	3:2
03.12.24	Arema - Persita Tangerang	3:0
13.03.24	Persita Tangerang - Arema	4:3
16.09.23	Arema - Persita Tangerang	0:0
01.04.23	Persita Tangerang - Arema	0:1
17.12.22	Arema - Persita Tangerang	2:0
15.02.22	Persita Tangerang - Arema	0:2

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