Match Info

Super League - Round 19

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Kanjuruhan Stadium (Malang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Arema		Persijap Jepara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.35
	1.76	3.82	4.57
	1.74	3.78	4.35	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.74	3.69	4.44	Watch
	1.69	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.04)	3.65 ↑ (3.4)	4.37 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arema
53.7%

Draw
25.3%

Persijap Jepara
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.3%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

26.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arema's performance.

Persijap Jepara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persijap Jepara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arema than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arema that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persijap Jepara than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Arema - Persijap Jepara Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Arema will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.95) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Satryo A. (G) 2. Fahmi R. 6. Guevara J. (C) 66. Yama H. 87. Farisi A. 8. Fikri A. 28. Betinho 25. Matheus Blade 77. Gustavo Franca 9. Joel Vinicius 7. Gabriel Silva	20. Johansah S. (G) 14. Hidayat R. 4. Tiri 45. Ndom A. 78. Lessy B. 21. Saepul R. 32. Gomez A. 33. Hamisi W. (C) 88. Herrera B. 95. Franca Carlos 34. Guarrotxena I.
Substitutes
13. Balinsa S. G. 14. Hariono J. 96. Iksan M. 31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 17. Mardiyanto D. 4. Odivan 23. Rifai M. 41. Santoso D. 72. Setiawan B. 27. Setiawan D. 11. Tuharea S. 10. Valdeci	16. Akbar R. 37. Alamsah Z. 1. Ardiansyah M. (G) 66. Dicky Kurniawan 71. Fadlillah A. 7. Indra Arya 17. Ramadhan F. 11. Sudi A. 96. Umanailo A.
Coaches
Marquinhos S.	Alves D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Lessy B. ↓, Ramadhan F. ↑,
27', Fahmi R. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Yama H. ⚽, Fahmi R. (A),
41', Matheus Blade 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Saepul R. ↓, Umanailo A. ↑,
53', Guevara J. ↓, Odivan ↑,
66', Betinho 🟨,
72', Fikri A. ↓, Hariono J. ↑,
72', Gustavo Franca ↓, Valdeci ↑,
80', Gomez A. ↓, Sudi A. ↑,
81', Farisi A. ↓, Iksan M. ↑,
84', Ndom A. 🟨,
88', Hariono J. 🟨,
88', Guarrotxena I. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Arema may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arema is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arema won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:1. (average 4:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Arema won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arema FC	4	1	3	0	10:6	4	6
16	Persijap Jepara	4	0	0	4	2:11	-9	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
26.01.26	Dewa United - Arema	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Arema - Persik Kediri	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Bali United Pusam - Arema	1:0 ✺
30.12.25	Arema - Persita Tangerang	0:1 ✺
23.12.25	Arema - Madura United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLT
- Persijap Jepara
Indonesian Super League
24.01.26	Persijap Jepara - PSM Makassar	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Persijap Jepara - Dewa United	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Persija Jakarta - Persijap Jepara	2:0 ✺
28.12.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Persijap Jepara	4:0 ✺
23.12.25	Persijap Jepara - PSIM Yogyakarta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
30.08.25	Persijap Jepara - Arema	0:0
05.09.14	Persijap Jepara - Arema	0:8
03.02.14	Arema - Persijap Jepara	4:1

Arema - Persijap Jepara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide