The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dewa United 55.4%
Draw 24.3%
Arema 20.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.3%
22.7%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.9%
21.7%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dewa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Arema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dewa United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dewa United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arema than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
Dewa United - Arema Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Dewa United will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Arema will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
92. Stevens S. (G) 12. Nurviat R. 14. Fatari B. 2. Kuipers N. 97. Febriansyah E. 28. Messidoro A. 6. Numberi T. 5. Lilipaly S. 19. Kambuaya R. (C) 11. Marukawa T. 39. Alex
31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 72. Setiawan B. 23. Rifai M. 6. Guevara J. 87. Farisi A. (C) 25. Matheus Blade 28. Betinho 77. Gustavo Franca 8. Fikri A. 7. Gabriel Silva 94. Dalberto
Substitutes
20. Bagaskara S. 37. Ballah A. 41. Cassio Scheid 1. Natshir M. (G) 3. Prasetyo W. 15. Rangga M. 16. Rizky K. 23. Setiawan A. 10. Vikri E.
13. Balinsa S. G. 20. Fachrezi R. 14. Hariono J. 96. Iksan M. 12. Marasabessy M. 17. Mardiyanto D. 4. Odivan 41. Santoso D. 30. Satryo A. (G) 27. Setiawan D. 11. Tuharea S. 10. Valdeci
Coaches
Riekerink J. O.
Marquinhos S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Farisi A. 🟨,
4', 1 - 0, Alex (Penalty Awarded),
38', Kambuaya R. ↓, Vikri E. ↑,
42', 2 - 0, Alex ⚽, Messidoro A. (A),
45+1', Dalberto 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nurviat R. ↓, Prasetyo W. ↑,
63', Fikri A. ↓, Mardiyanto D. ↑,
64', Lilipaly S. ↓, Ballah A. ↑,
65', Rifai M. 🟨,
75', Farisi A. ↓, Iksan M. ↑,
75', Gustavo Franca ↓, Valdeci ↑,
78', Fatari B. ↓, Cassio Scheid ↑,
88', Setiawan B. ↓, Marasabessy M. ↑,
88', Rifai M. ↓, Hariono J. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dewa United won 3.
Dewa United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Arema's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Arema may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Dewa United is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dewa United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Dewa United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).