The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bali United Pusam 55.2%
Draw 24.1%
Semen Padang 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
25.1%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.8%
24.1%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bali United Pusam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Semen Padang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bali United Pusam than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.6%
7.7%
7.7%
Bali United Pusam - Semen Padang Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Bali United (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bali United Pusam will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bali United Pusam will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bali United (votes: 7 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 16. Rizky Dwi 2. Ferrari J. 4. Arel K. 24. Fajrin R. (C) 8. Bruijn J. 18. Kadek Agung 10. Mustafic M. 47. Arjuna R. 7. Goppel T. 41. Yachida T.
27. Oscario R. (G) 2. Tsouka R. 4. Giraldo J. 24. Meneses A. (C) 3. Guntara L. 88. Maulana I. 30. Wakaso A. 86. Oropa A. 10. Froese K. 9. Guillermo 21. Diarra B.
Substitutes
5. Adi B. 33. Andhika M. 55. Made T. 77. Meilana Y. 44. Panji P. 91. Rahmat 19. Raven J. 95. Rustapa F. (G) 79. Sanjaya A. 42. Simon M. 31. Yusron D. (G)
25. Afandi Z. 8. Ariansyah R. . Asri S. 1. Augusto A. (G) 89. Bachtiar A. (G) 5. Gufron A. 15. Juliansyah F. 7. Nakagawa K. 31. Setiawan R. 12. Simanjuntak S. 6. Umanailo A. 63. Wahyudi R.
Coaches
Jansen J.
Antonic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Meneses A. ⚽, Froese K. (A),
12', 0 - 2, Giraldo J. ⚽, Froese K. (A),
36', Oropa A. ↓, Juliansyah F. ↑,
45+4', Maulana I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Kadek Agung ↓, Adi B. ↑,
46', Yachida T. ↓, Raven J. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Raven J. ⚽, Bruijn J. (A),
58', Oscario R. ↓, Augusto A. ↑,
58', Diarra B. ↓, Wahyudi R. ↑,
60', Adi B. 🟨,
63', Juliansyah F. ↓, Simanjuntak S. ↑,
68', Tsouka R. 🟨,
69', 2 - 2, Mustafic M. ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, Goppel T. ⚽,
79', 3 - 3, Wahyudi R. ⚽,
82', Arjuna R. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
83', Guntara L. ↓, Umanailo A. ↑,
87', Bruijn J. ↓, Made T. ↑,
90+1', Arel K. ↓, Rahmat ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bali United won 5.
Bali United has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Semen Padang is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Bali United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bali United is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Bali United will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bali United won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 2.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Bali United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Bali United
4
3
0
1
12:4
8
9
Last Results with these Odds
Semen Padang - the odds 4.36 are the expected chance of winning is 21.28%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Indonesia
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Hauptmeijer M. (G) 
Rizky Dwi 
Ferrari J. 
Mustafic M. 
Yachida T. 
Tsouka R. 
Giraldo J. 
Meneses A. (C) 
Wakaso A. 
Froese K. 
Guillermo 
Diarra B. 
Asri S. 
Antonic D. 
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