Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Fadura (Getxo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Arenas Club de Getxo		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.35	3.05	2.92
	2.46	3.05	2.99
	2.41	3.17	2.94	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.41	2.88	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.26)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	2.9 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
38%

Draw
30.5%

Real Avilés
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.8%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenas Club de Getxo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Aragoneses S. (G) 21. Sillero J. (C) 4. Alvarez P. 5. Garcia P. 20. Zabaleta E. 10. Hidalgo A. 16. Verde A. 22. Mattheus C. 8. Zabala M. 2. Vizcay T. 7. Collado U.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Ortega G. 5. Babin J. (C) 15. Chukwuma E. 20. Campabadal E. 17. Bari Q. 8. Bautista K. 16. Gomez A. 14. Cayarga B. 9. Santamaria A. 11. Rubio R.
Substitutes
27. Bazaga O. 3. Fernandez Cozar M. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 14. Glazer T. 12. Lartitegi J. 15. Mathieu K. 19. Mutilva C. 13. Pena A. (G) 23. Sustatxa A. 11. Troncho A. 9. Vazquez A.	13. Almodovar N. (G) 10. Cueto J. 3. Diaz V. 18. Gete A. 12. Grigore R. 22. Isi Ros 24. Lopez A. 7. Luis Alcalde 19. Poquet N. 23. Rivera C. 21. Uzkudun A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Garcia P. 🟨,
25', Collado U. 🟨,
33', Chukwuma E. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Vizcay T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, Santamaria A. ⚽,
60', Campabadal E. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Bautista K. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Mattheus C. ↓, Sustatxa A. ↑,
67', Collado U. ↓, Troncho A. ↑,
72', Zabaleta E. ↓, Bazaga O. ↑,
75', Rubio R. ↓, Uzkudun A. ↑,
75', Bari Q. ↓, Isi Ros ↑,
75', Gomez A. ↓, Gete A. ↑,
75', 🟨,
79', 2 - 2, Vizcay T. ⚽,
80', Hidalgo A. ↓, Mutilva C. ↑,
80', Zabala M. ↓, Lartitegi J. ↑,
85', Santamaria A. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
89', Uzkudun A. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 2, Vizcay T. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Real Avilés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Arenas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arenas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Real Aviles	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5
20	Arenas Getxo	6	0	2	4	4:14	-10	2

Last Results with these Odds

Real Avilés - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.6%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.03.26	Lugo - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Barakaldo	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTWLL
- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.03.26	Real Avilés - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Talavera de la Reina - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Real Avilés - Zamora	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Tenerife - Real Avilés	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.11.25	Real Avilés - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0

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