Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Tenerife		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	1.22	5	12
	1.23	5.3	11
	1.24	5.56	11.47
	1.26	5.44	10.82	Watch
	1.22	4.8	11
	1.25	5.33	12.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)	5.24 ↑ (5.07)	11.52 ↑ (8.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
74.4%

Draw
17.6%

Real Avilés
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

18.3%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

17.3%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+2%)

Tenerife - Real Avilés Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Tenerife (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tenerife (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 19. Alvarez C. 12. Landazuri A. 4. Leon J. 2. Rodriguez D. 20. Manjam A. 15. Fabricio 6. Juanjo 16. Sanz A. (C) 18. Enric 22. Valles G.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 14. Cayarga B. 5. Babin J. (C) 16. Gomez A. 12. Grigore R. 26. Carracedo O. 23. Rivera C. 18. Gete A. 7. Luis Alcalde 11. Rubio R. 9. Santamaria A.
Substitutes
3. Aguero F. 17. Balde M. 24. Chapela I. 9. de Miguel J. 29. Fernandez D. 23. Jorge J. 14. Lopez N. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 11. Mesa M. 28. Sabina F. 27. Ulloa A. 5. Yaakobishvili A.	13. Almodovar N. (G) 17. Bari Q. 10. Cueto J. 28. Geni Jr. 27. Palacio N. 30. Pelaez H. 19. Poquet N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Gomez A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Valles G. ⚽,
40', Fabricio 🟥,
40', Sanz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Valles G. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Cayarga B. ⚽,
53', Gete A. 🟨,
59', Luis Alcalde ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
62', Manjam A. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
75', Rivera C. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Enric (Penalty Awarded),
78', Gete A. ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
84', Rubio R. ↓, Poquet N. ↑,
88', Sanz A. ↓, Ulloa A. ↑,
88', Enric ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Poquet N. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 13).

Tenerife is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real Avilés has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Tenerife is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Real Aviles	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.02.26	Arenteiro - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Tenerife - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Tenerife - CD Guadalajara	4:0 ✺
25.01.26	Tenerife - Real Madrid Castilla	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTWW
- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.02.26	Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Celta de Vigo B - Real Avilés	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Arenteiro - Real Avilés	6:3 ✺
31.01.26	Real Avilés - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Real Avilés - Lugo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.12.25	Real Avilés - Tenerife	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.03.13	Real Avilés - Tenerife	0:3

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