The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arenas Club de Getxo 42.2%
Draw 33.5%
Real Unión de Irun 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
31.7%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
23.4%
46.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arenas Club de Getxo's performance.
Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Unión de Irun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arenas Club de Getxo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+22%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Unión de Irun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Unión de Irun Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Second stage) and 2 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 2 (Promotion Group)).
Recent matches Arenas Club is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Real Unión is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Arenas Club could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Real Unión have a series of home games.
Arenas Club will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Arenas Club won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Arenas Club won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.