Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Arenteiro		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	2.9
	2.42	3	2.92
	2.4	3.19	2.99
	2.63	2.90	2.86	Watch
	2.45	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.3)	3 ↓ (3.04)	2.92 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
37.7%

Draw
30.8%

CD Guadalajara
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Arenteiro - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 5. Perez G. 3. Lohr L. 21. Llacer L. 12. Ochoa M. 25. Bastida A. 7. Ferreiro D. 6. Val B. 15. Moreno D. 18. Mingo V.	1. Zarco A. (G) 5. Gallardo D. 4. Ablanque J. 16. Cera 18. Martinez J. 21. Ramirez M. 14. Tavares R. 6. Rojo P. 19. Munoz P. 9. Canizo A. 24. Caropitche S. M.
Substitutes
19. Alpha M. 1. Alvin (G) 10. De Camargo W. 4. Falcon E. 44. Gimenez F. 8. Gonzalez D. 16. Guerrero J. 30. Iglesias F. 2. Moya P. 24. Richarte R. 14. Safrai 20. Solis A.	11. Alvarez U. 10. Amigo D. 20. Diaz B. . Mayo N. 7. Neskes 15. Rodriguez V. 22. Samuel . Verdu M. 13. Vicente D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Ferreiro D. ↓, Richarte R. ↑,
37', Ablanque J. 🟨,
43', Richarte R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Ramirez M. ↓, Neskes ↑,
54', Canizo A. ↓, Alvarez U. ↑,
54', Munoz P. ↓, Amigo D. ↑,
71', Neskes 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Recent performances by Arenteiro have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guadalajara is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.10.25	Arenteiro - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Celta de Vigo B - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Arenteiro - Zamora	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Cacereño - Arenteiro	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Arenteiro - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLTWW
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.10.25	CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés	3:4 ✺
26.09.25	Ferrol - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	CD Guadalajara - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Celta de Vigo B - CD Guadalajara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LTWWW

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