Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Arenteiro		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.3	3	3.25
	2.43	2.94	3.34
	2.43	2.83	3.34
	2.31	3.02	3.15
	2.24	3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.25)	2.95 ↓ (3)	3.19 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
39.9%

Draw
31.2%

Fuenlabrada
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

32.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-1%)

Arenteiro - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (G) 3. Novoa G. 4. Garcia Vitra D. R. 15. Moreno J. 5. Bueso P. 18. Ramon A. 10. Marquitos 6. Rodriguez T. 11. Pibe 7. Fedor M. 23. Chacon L.	1. Diaz J. (G) 2. Vigaray C. 16. Alba D. 5. Lama M. 4. Sotillos A. 14. Barbosa A. 17. Ruiz Fer 12. Buer S. 23. Galindo A. 20. Sergio Benito 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
20. Berardozzi T. 1. Brea Pablo (G) 14. Cruz A. 17. Delgado J. 16. Esquerdo V. 24. Figueroa M. (G) 9. Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. 2. Lucas Sena 19. Ramos I. 21. Romay M. 22. Sanchez J.	29. Benitez C. 10. Bravo A. 8. Cristobal 3. Duran J. 21. Fernandez M. 24. Giffard L. (G) 19. Hassaine I. 11. Nieto D. 15. Sanchez A.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 9).

Arenteiro is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fuenlabrada is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arenteiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arenteiro will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Real Avilés - Arenteiro	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.10.23	Arenteiro - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:0 ✺
21.10.23	Leonesa - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Arenteiro - Sestao	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Teruel - Arenteiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWT
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.10.23	Fuenlabrada - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Teruel - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Fuenlabrada - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Sabadell - Fuenlabrada	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Fuenlabrada - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWWW

Arenteiro - Fuenlabrada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide