Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, TVG 2


	Leonesa		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	4.5
	1.63	3.4	4.6
	1.67	3.65	4.9
	1.61	3.68	5.11	Watch
	1.69	3.77	4.71
	1.67	3.65	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.64)	3.63 ↓ (3.71)	4.79 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
55.6%

Draw
25.3%

Arenteiro
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

19.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenteiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leonesa - Arenteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 2. Garcia V. 5. Fornos Q. 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Martinez A. 22. Pibe 16. Maestre S. 8. Barri 14. Bicho 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M.	1. Lopez A. (G) 5. Borge A. 15. Diori Y. 6. Prendes M. 2. lano Imbene 8. Solar M. 16. Rivelott Curro 18. Rodriguez E. 17. Pascu 7. Ferreiro D. 21. Baselga M.
Substitutes
20. Alba T. 13. Amigo (G) 21. Artola J. 7. Calderon C. 19. Escobar A. 18. Lanchi 12. Ortega G. 4. Rodri Suarez 28. Ruiz A. 26. Ruiz J. (G) 15. Ruiz V. 11. Samanes S.	14. Cruz A. 11. Cuellar J. 10. Esteban S. 24. Fernandez L. 27. Figueroa M. (G) 20. Perez S. 22. Sanchez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Diori Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Ferreiro D. 🟨,
66', Bicho ↓, Samanes S. ↑,
67', Baselga M. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
72', Justo M. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
72', Pibe ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
74', Lopez A. 🟨,
76', Rodriguez E. 🟨,
77', Ferreiro D. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
77', Rivelott Curro ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
79', Chacon L. 🟨,
83', Chacon L. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
83', Barri ↓, Alba T. ↑,
84', lano Imbene 🟨,
88', 1 - 0, Satrustegui E. ⚽,
89', Satrustegui E. 🟨,
89', Borge A. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 10).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arenteiro is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.03.25	Barcelona B - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Leonesa - Zamora	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Osasuna B - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTTT
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.03.25	Arenteiro - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	FC Andorra - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Arenteiro - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Real Unión de Irun - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Arenteiro - Sestao	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.08.24	Arenteiro - Leonesa	0:1
10.02.24	Arenteiro - Leonesa	1:0
21.10.23	Leonesa - Arenteiro	1:0

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