Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Arenteiro		Sestao

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4.1
	1.89	3.05	3.9
	1.88	3.23	4.46
	1.85	3.21	4.24	Watch
	1.87	3.14	4.36
	1.89	3.05	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.94)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	4.16 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
48.9%

Draw
29.2%

Sestao
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

29%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.9%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Arenteiro - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 15. Diori Y. 6. Prendes M. 2. lano Imbene 17. Pascu 14. Cruz A. 19. Aguado T. 7. Ferreiro D. 21. Baselga M. 11. Cuellar J.	13. Herrerin I. (C) 2. Alvarez J. 23. Efremov A. 21. Miranda A. 19. Rojo J. 18. Cordoba A. 6. Gomez A. 15. Bustillo M. 14. Garcia S. 11. Etxaniz J. 9. Aznar D.
Substitutes
5. Borge A. 10. Esteban S. 24. Fernandez L. 27. Figueroa M. (G) 1. Lopez A. (G) 20. Perez S. 16. Rivelott Curro 18. Rodriguez E.	12. Barandalla M. 22. Etxeberria M. 8. Garai G. 1. Garrido J. (G) 5. Martinez G. 10. Martinez Ortiz L. 7. Planas A. 4. Relu

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Aznar D. ⚽,
21', 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Aznar D. ⚽,
43', 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Pascu ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Cordoba A. ↓, Garai G. ↑,
56', Aznar D. ↓, Planas A. ↑,
58', 🟨,
58', lano Imbene ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
58', Sanchez J. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
61', Garcia S. ↓, Etxeberria M. ↑,
65', Bustillo M. ↓, Martinez Ortiz L. ↑,
65', Etxaniz J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
65', Cruz A. ↓, Rivelott Curro ↑,
76', Diori Y. ↓, Borge A. ↑,
76', Cuellar J. ↓, Esteban S. ↑,
80', 🟨,
87', Ferreiro D. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Pascu ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sestao could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arenteiro is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arenteiro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Arenteiro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.02.25	Barcelona B - Arenteiro	2:3 ✺
19.02.25	Arenteiro - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Arenteiro - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Amorebieta - Arenteiro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWLL
- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.02.25	Sestao - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Lugo - Sestao	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Sestao - Zamora	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Sestao - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Sestao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.12.24	Sestao - Arenteiro	2:1
04.02.24	Sestao - Arenteiro	1:0
15.10.23	Arenteiro - Sestao	1:0

Upcoming Matches