Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Romeo Neri (Rimini)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Rimini		Arezzo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6	4	1.42
	6.7	4.25	1.41
	6.59	4.46	1.45
	7.11	3.03	1.65	Watch
	8.1	4.05	1.37	Watch
	6.6	4.2	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.85 ↑ (3.53)	4 ↑ (3.23)	1.45 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rimini
13.5%

Draw
23.1%

Arezzo
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

28.4%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

27.2%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rimini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rimini's form might have worsened.

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arezzo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rimini than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rimini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arezzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Rimini - Arezzo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1, 1st Half - Arezzo (5.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Arezzo (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arezzo will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arezzo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Arezzo (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitali L. (G) 98. Lepri T. 4. Bellodi G. (C) 28. Longobardi G. 66. Boli J. 41. Asmussen A. 30. De Vitis A. 8. Piccoli M. 54. Falasco N. 7. Capac A. 10. D’Agostini L.	22. Venturi G. (G) 45. Perrotta F. 13. Gilli M. 19. Chiosa M. 37. Righetti S. 8. Eklu S. M. 7. Guccione F. 24. Chierico L. 10. Pattarello E. 71. Cianci P. 21. Tavernelli C.
Substitutes
26. Bassoli A. 16. Camiciotti 20. Fabbri A. 5. Fiorini M. 89. Gagliano M. (G) 80. Leoncini M. 77. Madonna M. 2. Moray J. 37. Petta A. 22. Pirini M. (G) 70. Rubino M.	77. Dell'Aquila F. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 78. Iaccarino G. 14. Meli M. 91. Ravasio M. 3. Tito F. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Asmussen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Asmussen A. ↓, Leoncini M. ↑,
64', Cianci P. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Varela Djamanca M. ⚽,
75', De Vitis A. ↓, Fiorini M. ↑,
75', Falasco N. ↓, Bassoli A. ↑,
78', Chiosa M. 🟨,
81', Eklu S. M. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
81', Chierico L. ↓, Iaccarino G. ↑,
82', Perrotta F. ↓, Gigli N. ↑,
83', 🟨,
83', Lepri T. 🟨,
87', Boli J. ↓, Rubino M. ↑,
87', Piccoli M. ↓, Moray J. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rimini won 0.

Rimini has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arezzo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Arezzo is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rimini won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rimini won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Rimini - the odds 3.53 are the expected chance of winning is 25.97%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rimini FC
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Pineto - Rimini	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Rimini	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Rimini - Forlì	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Pontedera - Rimini	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Rimini - Ternana	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLWLL
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Arezzo - Carpi	3:1 ✺
23.09.25	Pianese - Arezzo	2:4 ✺
19.09.25	Arezzo - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Juventus U23 - Arezzo	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Arezzo - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
24.02.25	Rimini - Arezzo	0:2
13.10.24	Arezzo - Rimini	1:1
06.01.24	Arezzo - Rimini	1:0
01.09.23	Rimini - Arezzo	1:2
08.05.16	Rimini - Arezzo	1:1
09.01.16	Arezzo - Rimini	2:0

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