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Current Win Probability
Arezzo 65.7%
Draw 22.6%
Sassari Torres 11.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.8%
19%
10.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.5%
18.1%
9.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arezzo's form might have worsened.
Sassari Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Arezzo - Sassari Torres Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Arezzo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 26. De Col F. 4. Coppolaro M. 19. Chiosa M. 37. Righetti S. 8. Eklu S. M. 78. Iaccarino G. 17. Ionita A. 30. Arena A. 71. Cianci P. 21. Tavernelli C.
21. Zaccagno A. (G) 44. Zanandrea G. 23. Antonelli N. 13. Baldi M. 77. Zecca G. 4. Brentan M. 10. Mastinu G. (C) 27. Zambataro E. 16. Sala M. 7. Di Stefano L. 99. Sorrentino D.
Substitutes
5. Casarosa M. 24. Chierico L. 90. Concetti M. 72. Cortesi M. 77. Di Chiara G. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 13. Gilli M. 7. Guccione F. 10. Pattarello E. 91. Ravasio M. 6. Renzi A. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M. 23. Viviani M.
25. Bonin L. 11. Diakite A. 30. Fabriani C. 14. Idda R. 15. Liviero M. 9. Luciani P. 20. Lunghi A. 22. Marano M. (G) 8. Masala A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Zambataro E. ↓, Liviero M. ↑,
37', Zecca G. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Tavernelli C. ⚽,
45+5', Chiosa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Di Stefano L. ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Arena A. ⚽,
56', Arena A. 🟨,
64', Cianci P. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
71', Mastinu G. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
71', Zecca G. ↓, Masala A. ↑,
76', Zanandrea G. ↓, Fabriani C. ↑,
81', Arena A. ↓, Pattarello E. ↑,
89', Ionita A. ↓, Gigli N. ↑,
89', Eklu S. M. ↓, Viviani M. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Pattarello E. ⚽,
90+7', Pattarello E. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 2.
Arezzo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Torres has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Torres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Arezzo is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Arezzo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).