Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Arezzo		Flaminia Civita Castellana

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.1
	1.8	3.3	3.9
	1.83	3.3	3.83
	1.78	3.2	4.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.54)	3.28 ↓ (3.53)	4.12 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
50.5%

Draw
27.6%

Flaminia Civita Castellana
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

24.6%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arezzo's form might have worsened.

Flaminia Civita Castellana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flaminia Civita Castellana than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Arezzo - Flaminia Civita Castellana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs)).

Arezzo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Flaminia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Flaminia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Arezzo have a series of home games.

In this match Arezzo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Arezzo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie D - Group E
21.01.23	Arezzo - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Follonica Gavorrano - Arezzo	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.01.23	Arezzo - Pineto	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
07.01.23	Arezzo - Orvietana	2:0 ✺
21.12.22	Arezzo - Poggibonsi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLWW
- ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana
Italian Serie D - Group E
29.01.23	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Tau Altopascio	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Ostia Mare - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Montespaccato	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Livorno - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:2 ✺
21.12.22	Città di Castello - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
02.10.22	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Arezzo	0:1
15.05.22	Arezzo - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:1
02.02.22	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Arezzo	1:1

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