Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 20

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday


	Arezzo		SanGiovanniValdarno

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.7	4.33
	1.63	3.55	4.6
	1.59	3.68	4.72
	1.57	3.7	4.5
	1.61	3.72	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)	3.67 ↓ (3.74)	4.59 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
55.9%

Draw
24.5%

SanGiovanniValdarno
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

23.5%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

SanGiovanniValdarno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SanGiovanniValdarno than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Arezzo - SanGiovanniValdarno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 10).

Arezzo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches SanGiovanniValdarno is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arezzo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arezzo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.01.23	Follonica Gavorrano - Arezzo	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.01.23	Arezzo - Pineto	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
07.01.23	Arezzo - Orvietana	2:0 ✺
21.12.22	Arezzo - Poggibonsi	2:1 ✺
17.12.22	Trestina - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWT
- ASD SanGiovanniValdarno
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.01.23	SanGiovanniValdarno - Livorno	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Ostia Mare - SanGiovanniValdarno	0:0 ✺
21.12.22	Mobilieri Ponsacco - SanGiovanniValdarno	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	SanGiovanniValdarno - Montespaccato	4:0 ✺
11.12.22	Seravezza Pozzi - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
18.09.22	SanGiovanniValdarno - Arezzo	0:3
26.03.22	Arezzo - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:1
07.11.21	SanGiovanniValdarno - Arezzo	1:0

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