The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Merlo 28.7%
Draw 29.9%
Real Pilar 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
30.9%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
33.2%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentino de Merlo's form might have worsened.
Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Pilar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentino de Merlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Pilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Argentino de Merlo - Real Pilar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 9. Aguirre D. E. 2. Cacace J. 6. Lopez V. 3. Maceri B. 8. Medina C. 11. Ortiz J. 5. Romero L. 7. Salvador A. 10. Scisci G. 4. Ursino D.
1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Abre F. 11. Crocco M. 3. Franco E. 2. Gelos V. 4. Isola G. 7. Martin B. 5. Pansardi F. 9. Riquelme M. D. 8. Rojas M. 10. Vergara D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rojas M. ↓, Mancini V. ↑,
61', Ortiz J. ↓, Salvador A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Pansardi F. ⚽,
70', Crocco M. ↓, Rios N. ↑,
70', Isola G. ↓, Basualdo N. ↑,
70', Costella B. ↓, Sellecchia F. ↑,
79', Martin B. ↓, Achucarro D. ↑,
79', Maceri B. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
79', Gomez M. ↓, Marcial C. ↑,
84', Franco E. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 1.
Recent form of Argentino de Merlo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Real Pilar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Real Pilar might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Merlo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).
Argentina
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