The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Laferrere 39%
Draw 32%
Real Pilar 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
31.1%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
31.8%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Laferrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Deportivo Laferrere - Real Pilar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morro M. (G) 11. Denis J. 3. Mamani L. 6. Nebot L. 10. Ortiz F. 4. Portillo B. 9. Rebecchi L. 2. Redondo J. P. 7. Romero F. 5. Trejo E. 8. Vivas A.
1. Perafan P. (G) 2. Abre F. 6. Achucarro D. 11. Crocco M. (C) 3. Franco E. 8. Gelos V. 4. Leguiza D. 7. Martin B. 5. Rios N. 9. Rodriguez E. 10. Vergara D.
Substitutes
16. Benitez A. 18. Bramajo D. 13. Cavoret I. 14. Digangi M. 17. Digion R. 12. Libares T. (G) 15. Manzi N. 19. Moran J. 20. Visco A.
13. Basualdo N. 18. Camargo T. 17. Gonzalez D. 14. Isola G. 19. Mancini V. 15. Pansardi F. 20. Riquelme M. D. 16. Rojas M. 12. Sanchez S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Vergara D. ⚽,
24', Redondo J. P. ↓, Cavoret I. ↑,
30', 1 - 1, Romero F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Crocco M. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
63', Gelos V. ↓, Pansardi F. ↑,
63', Martin B. ↓, Mancini V. ↑,
70', Denis J. ↓, Digion R. ↑,
75', Rios N. 🟨,
76', Vergara D. ↓, Camargo T. ↑,
77', Rebecchi L. ↓, Moran J. ↑,
77', Ortiz F. ↓, Visco A. ↑,
84', Franco E. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
90', 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 2.
Recent performances by Deportivo Laferrere have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Real Pilar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Deportivo Laferrere may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Laferrere won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Real Pilar
38
17
10
11
42:38
4
61
10
Laferrere
38
13
12
13
46:50
-4
51
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Laferrere - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.57%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.