Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 8

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)


	Argentinos Juniors		Independiente

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.98	3.1	4.1
	1.95	3.1	4.35	Watch
	2.02	3.18	4.45
	1.95	3.2	4.25
	2	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.23)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	4.25 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
47.8%

Draw
29.9%

Independiente
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

29.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Independiente will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Martin A. (G) 29. Di Cesare M. 19. Galvan J. 6. Villalba L. 7. Cabrera J. 8. Rodriguez A. 5. Redondo Solari F. 18. Montiel S. 32. Gondou L. 17. Moyano F. 13. Gonzalez F.	33. Rey R. (G) 13. Baez C. 26. Aguilar F. 2. Laso J. 22. Isla M. 23. Marcone I. 11. Mancuello F. 15. Perez D. 29. Martinez B. 34. Gimenez M. 32. Canelo A.
Substitutes
27. Bittolo M. 16. Cabral R. 21. Dominguez F. 24. Gonzalez L. 15. Heredia L. 20. Lanzillotta F. (G) 22. Lescano A. 11. Nuss T. 2. Torren M. 4. Vega R. 14. Vera G. 10. Veron G.	21. Buffarini J. 79. Costa A. 3. Elizalde E. 17. Gonzalez L. 8. Lopez K. 37. Martinez D. 14. Martin Sarrafiore 5. Mulet A. 28. Ortiz S. 4. Ostachuk P. 41. Ruiz J. 25. Segovia D. (G)
Coaches
Guede P.	Tevez C.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de la Liga Profesional (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Argentinos Juniors will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Minissale P. (Injury) Sanchez L. (Injury)

There will not play in Independiente: Marquez De Meneses R. L. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Argentinos Juniors won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.10.23	Platense - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
25.09.23	Colón - Argentinos Juniors	3:1 ✺
21.09.23	Argentinos Juniors - Talleres de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
15.09.23	Banfield - Argentinos Juniors	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Argentinos Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWWT
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.09.23	Racing - Independiente	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Independiente - Instituto Córdoba	0:0 ✺
19.09.23	Rosario Central - Independiente	1:1 ✺
14.09.23	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
09.09.23	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.05.23	Argentinos Juniors - Independiente	2:2
16.06.22	Argentinos Juniors - Independiente	2:1
18.07.21	Independiente - Argentinos Juniors	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.12.20	Argentinos Juniors - Independiente	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.10.19	Independiente - Argentinos Juniors	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Superliga
21.04.19	Independiente - Argentinos Juniors	1:1
14.04.19	Argentinos Juniors - Independiente	3:2

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