Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 7 June 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	08:00	beIN Sports
Brazil	19:00	ESPN 4


	Argentinos Juniors		Liverpool Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	11	Watch
	1.22	6	13
	1.23	6.25	13
	1.24	6.33	13.02
	1.17	5.5	12
	1.22	6.25	12.75	Watch
	1.21	6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.43)	6.12 ↑ (4.41)	12.4 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
77.1%

Draw
15.3%

Liverpool Montevideo
7.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.1%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

19.9%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liverpool Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Argentinos Juniors - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Liverpool will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Martin A. (G) 4. Mac Allister K. 2. Torren M. (C) 6. Villalba L. 7. Cabrera J. 5. Redondo Solari F. 17. Moyano F. 18. Montiel S. 8. Rodriguez A. 13. Gonzalez F. 9. Avalos G.	1. Britos S. (G) 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 6. Pereira F. (C) 4. Perez G. 3. Izquierdo J. 11. Samudio M. 17. Meli M. 26. Lemos L. 8. Napoli G. 23. Bentancourt R. 10. Medina A.
Substitutes
27. Bittolo M. 16. Cabral R. 29. Di Cesare M. 21. Dominguez F. 24. Gonzalez L. 15. Heredia L. 26. Herrera J. 20. Lanzillotta F. (G) 30. Minissale P. 3. Sanchez L. 14. Vera G. 10. Veron G.	16. Barrios M. 9. Cabrera M. 25. Dalies J. (G) 12. Hornos Garcia R. M. (G) 27. Lopez Y. 7. Machado R. 22. Olivera G. 13. Otormin L. 14. Rivero R. 2. Rodriguez I. 5. Silva M. 30. Zunino M.
Coaches
Milito G.	Bava J.

Preview

Recent matches Argentinos Juniors is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Liverpool is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Argentinos Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Liverpool have a series of home games.

In this match Argentinos Juniors is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.06.23	Argentinos Juniors - Platense	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Argentinos Juniors	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.05.23	Argentinos Juniors - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.05.23	Argentinos Juniors - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
12.05.23	Atlético Tucumán - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTLW
- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.06.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.05.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Independiente del Valle	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.05.23	River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.05.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Argentinos Juniors	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
02.05.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Argentinos Juniors	2:2

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